Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast
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Far North District

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Far North District is forecast to grow from 27,599 in 2013 to 29,734 in 2028, with the average household size falling from 2.62 to 2.44 by 2028.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Far North District. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Far North DistrictForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population60,60061,01461,33761,57661,90962,09562,229
Change in population (5yrs)--413324238333186134
Average annual change--0.14%0.11%0.08%0.11%0.06%0.04%
Households22,83723,61824,26624,86425,52525,85026,029
Average household size2.622.552.492.442.392.372.35
Population in non private dwellings713713808888918918938
Dwellings27,59928,28029,02429,73430,37530,99031,578
Dwelling occupancy rate82.7583.5183.6183.6284.0383.4182.43

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2043 Average household size: 2.35 2042 Average household size: 2.36 2041 Average household size: 2.36 2040 Average household size: 2.36 2039 Average household size: 2.36 2038 Average household size: 2.37 2037 Average household size: 2.37 2036 Average household size: 2.37 2035 Average household size: 2.38 2034 Average household size: 2.38 2033 Average household size: 2.39 2032 Average household size: 2.40 2031 Average household size: 2.41 2030 Average household size: 2.42 2029 Average household size: 2.43 2028 Average household size: 2.44 2027 Average household size: 2.45 2026 Average household size: 2.46 2025 Average household size: 2.47 2024 Average household size: 2.48 2023 Average household size: 2.49 2022 Average household size: 2.50 2021 Average household size: 2.51 2020 Average household size: 2.52 2019 Average household size: 2.54 2018 Average household size: 2.55 2017 Average household size: 2.57 2016 Average household size: 2.59 2015 Average household size: 2.61 2014 Average household size: 2.63 2013 Average household size: 2.62 2043 Average household size: 2.35 2042 Average household size: 2.36 2041 Average household size: 2.36 2040 Average household size: 2.36 2039 Average household size: 2.36 2038 Average household size: 2.37 2037 Average household size: 2.37 2036 Average household size: 2.37 2035 Average household size: 2.38 2034 Average household size: 2.38 2033 Average household size: 2.39 2032 Average household size: 2.40 2031 Average household size: 2.41 2030 Average household size: 2.42 2029 Average household size: 2.43 2028 Average household size: 2.44 2027 Average household size: 2.45 2026 Average household size: 2.46 2025 Average household size: 2.47 2024 Average household size: 2.48 2023 Average household size: 2.49 2022 Average household size: 2.50 2021 Average household size: 2.51 2020 Average household size: 2.52 2019 Average household size: 2.54 2018 Average household size: 2.55 2017 Average household size: 2.57 2016 Average household size: 2.59 2015 Average household size: 2.61 2014 Average household size: 2.63 2043 Households: 26,033 2042 Households: 25,998 2041 Households: 25,962 2040 Households: 25,926 2039 Households: 25,890 2038 Households: 25,852 2037 Households: 25,803 2036 Households: 25,744 2035 Households: 25,672 2034 Households: 25,601 2033 Households: 25,524 2032 Households: 25,420 2031 Households: 25,300 2030 Households: 25,160 2029 Households: 25,006 2028 Households: 24,864 2027 Households: 24,746 2026 Households: 24,631 2025 Households: 24,514 2024 Households: 24,391 2023 Households: 24,265 2022 Households: 24,134 2021 Households: 24,003 2020 Households: 23,873 2019 Households: 23,743 2018 Households: 23,616 2017 Households: 23,438 2016 Households: 23,241 2015 Households: 22,994 2014 Households: 22,829 2013 Households: 22,837 2043 Total population: 62,229 2042 Total population: 62,191 2041 Total population: 62,162 2040 Total population: 62,134 2039 Total population: 62,099 2038 Total population: 62,095 2037 Total population: 62,075 2036 Total population: 62,041 2035 Total population: 61,981 2034 Total population: 61,931 2033 Total population: 61,909 2032 Total population: 61,862 2031 Total population: 61,795 2030 Total population: 61,719 2029 Total population: 61,618 2028 Total population: 61,576 2027 Total population: 61,504 2026 Total population: 61,484 2025 Total population: 61,452 2024 Total population: 61,428 2023 Total population: 61,337 2022 Total population: 61,178 2021 Total population: 61,087 2020 Total population: 61,035 2019 Total population: 61,006 2018 Total population: 61,014 2017 Total population: 60,935 2016 Total population: 60,862 2015 Total population: 60,788 2014 Total population: 60,686 2013 Total population: 60,600
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Far North District was estimated to be 60,600 people. It is expected to increase by over 970 people to 61,576 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 0.11%. This is based on an increase of over 2,000 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.62 to 2.44 by 2028.

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