Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast
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Far North District

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Far North District is forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018, which is expected to have a net increase of 413 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Far North DistrictForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births3,7363,6753,6183,6153,5493,462
Deaths2,7042,9273,1903,4803,6883,768
Natural increase/decrease1,031748428135-139-307
Net migration-618-519-269168325421
Change in persons in non-private dwellings0958030020

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 39 2042 forecast population change: 29 2041 forecast population change: 28 2040 forecast population change: 35 2039 forecast population change: 4 2038 forecast population change: 20 2037 forecast population change: 34 2036 forecast population change: 60 2035 forecast population change: 50 2034 forecast population change: 22 2033 forecast population change: 47 2032 forecast population change: 66 2031 forecast population change: 77 2030 forecast population change: 100 2029 forecast population change: 43 2028 forecast population change: 72 2027 forecast population change: 20 2026 forecast population change: 32 2025 forecast population change: 24 2024 forecast population change: 91 2023 forecast population change: 159 2022 forecast population change: 91 2021 forecast population change: 52 2020 forecast population change: 29 2019 forecast population change: -7 2018 forecast population change: 79 2017 forecast population change: 72 2016 forecast population change: 74 2015 forecast population change: 103 2014 forecast population change: 85
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: -71 2042 Natural increase: -67 2041 Natural increase: -63 2040 Natural increase: -55 2039 Natural increase: -50 2038 Natural increase: -43 2037 Natural increase: -35 2036 Natural increase: -30 2035 Natural increase: -23 2034 Natural increase: -8 2033 Natural increase: 8 2032 Natural increase: 15 2031 Natural increase: 25 2030 Natural increase: 38 2029 Natural increase: 50 2028 Natural increase: 61 2027 Natural increase: 74 2026 Natural increase: 84 2025 Natural increase: 97 2024 Natural increase: 112 2023 Natural increase: 124 2022 Natural increase: 137 2021 Natural increase: 146 2020 Natural increase: 165 2019 Natural increase: 175 2018 Natural increase: 189 2017 Natural increase: 202 2016 Natural increase: 210 2015 Natural increase: 220 2014 Natural increase: 210 2043 Total deaths: 758 2042 Total deaths: 757 2041 Total deaths: 755 2040 Total deaths: 750 2039 Total deaths: 749 2038 Total deaths: 746 2037 Total deaths: 742 2036 Total deaths: 740 2035 Total deaths: 736 2034 Total deaths: 724 2033 Total deaths: 714 2032 Total deaths: 709 2031 Total deaths: 700 2030 Total deaths: 685 2029 Total deaths: 672 2028 Total deaths: 662 2027 Total deaths: 650 2026 Total deaths: 638 2025 Total deaths: 627 2024 Total deaths: 614 2023 Total deaths: 606 2022 Total deaths: 596 2021 Total deaths: 586 2020 Total deaths: 573 2019 Total deaths: 566 2018 Total deaths: 556 2017 Total deaths: 543 2016 Total deaths: 535 2015 Total deaths: 527 2014 Total deaths: 543 2043 Total births: 687 2042 Total births: 689 2041 Total births: 692 2040 Total births: 695 2039 Total births: 699 2038 Total births: 703 2037 Total births: 707 2036 Total births: 710 2035 Total births: 713 2034 Total births: 717 2033 Total births: 721 2032 Total births: 724 2031 Total births: 725 2030 Total births: 723 2029 Total births: 723 2028 Total births: 722 2027 Total births: 723 2026 Total births: 722 2025 Total births: 724 2024 Total births: 726 2023 Total births: 730 2022 Total births: 733 2021 Total births: 733 2020 Total births: 738 2019 Total births: 741 2018 Total births: 745 2017 Total births: 745 2016 Total births: 746 2015 Total births: 747 2014 Total births: 753 2043 Natural increase: -71 2042 Natural increase: -67 2041 Natural increase: -63 2040 Natural increase: -55 2039 Natural increase: -50 2038 Natural increase: -43 2037 Natural increase: -35 2036 Natural increase: -30 2035 Natural increase: -23 2034 Natural increase: -8 2033 Natural increase: 8 2032 Natural increase: 15 2031 Natural increase: 25 2030 Natural increase: 38 2029 Natural increase: 50 2028 Natural increase: 61 2027 Natural increase: 74 2026 Natural increase: 84 2025 Natural increase: 97 2024 Natural increase: 112 2023 Natural increase: 124 2022 Natural increase: 137 2021 Natural increase: 146 2020 Natural increase: 165 2019 Natural increase: 175 2018 Natural increase: 189 2017 Natural increase: 202 2016 Natural increase: 210 2015 Natural increase: 220 2014 Natural increase: 210 2043 Total deaths: 758 2042 Total deaths: 757 2041 Total deaths: 755 2040 Total deaths: 750 2039 Total deaths: 749 2038 Total deaths: 746 2037 Total deaths: 742 2036 Total deaths: 740 2035 Total deaths: 736 2034 Total deaths: 724 2033 Total deaths: 714 2032 Total deaths: 709 2031 Total deaths: 700 2030 Total deaths: 685 2029 Total deaths: 672 2028 Total deaths: 662 2027 Total deaths: 650 2026 Total deaths: 638 2025 Total deaths: 627 2024 Total deaths: 614 2023 Total deaths: 606 2022 Total deaths: 596 2021 Total deaths: 586 2020 Total deaths: 573 2019 Total deaths: 566 2018 Total deaths: 556 2017 Total deaths: 543 2016 Total deaths: 535 2015 Total deaths: 527 2014 Total deaths: 543 2043 Total births: 687 2042 Total births: 689 2041 Total births: 692 2040 Total births: 695 2039 Total births: 699 2038 Total births: 703 2037 Total births: 707 2036 Total births: 710 2035 Total births: 713 2034 Total births: 717 2033 Total births: 721 2032 Total births: 724 2031 Total births: 725 2030 Total births: 723 2029 Total births: 723 2028 Total births: 722 2027 Total births: 723 2026 Total births: 722 2025 Total births: 724 2024 Total births: 726 2023 Total births: 730 2022 Total births: 733 2021 Total births: 733 2020 Total births: 738 2019 Total births: 741 2018 Total births: 745 2017 Total births: 745 2016 Total births: 746 2015 Total births: 747 2014 Total births: 753
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 109 2042 Total net migration: 96 2041 Total net migration: 91 2040 Total net migration: 70 2039 Total net migration: 55 2038 Total net migration: 63 2037 Total net migration: 70 2036 Total net migration: 90 2035 Total net migration: 73 2034 Total net migration: 30 2033 Total net migration: 25 2032 Total net migration: 52 2031 Total net migration: 52 2030 Total net migration: 48 2029 Total net migration: -8 2028 Total net migration: 11 2027 Total net migration: -54 2026 Total net migration: -72 2025 Total net migration: -103 2024 Total net migration: -52 2023 Total net migration: -5 2022 Total net migration: -46 2021 Total net migration: -95 2020 Total net migration: -176 2019 Total net migration: -197 2018 Total net migration: -109 2017 Total net migration: -130 2016 Total net migration: -137 2015 Total net migration: -117 2014 Total net migration: -124 2043 Total out migration: 4,471 2042 Total out migration: 4,472 2041 Total out migration: 4,475 2040 Total out migration: 4,478 2039 Total out migration: 4,484 2038 Total out migration: 4,489 2037 Total out migration: 4,493 2036 Total out migration: 4,493 2035 Total out migration: 4,493 2034 Total out migration: 4,496 2033 Total out migration: 4,499 2032 Total out migration: 4,496 2031 Total out migration: 4,493 2030 Total out migration: 4,487 2029 Total out migration: 4,487 2028 Total out migration: 4,484 2027 Total out migration: 4,488 2026 Total out migration: 4,497 2025 Total out migration: 4,508 2024 Total out migration: 4,515 2023 Total out migration: 4,520 2022 Total out migration: 4,523 2021 Total out migration: 4,531 2020 Total out migration: 4,545 2019 Total out migration: 4,559 2018 Total out migration: 4,570 2017 Total out migration: 4,586 2016 Total out migration: 4,607 2015 Total out migration: 4,630 2014 Total out migration: 4,659 2043 Total in migration: 4,581 2042 Total in migration: 4,569 2041 Total in migration: 4,565 2040 Total in migration: 4,548 2039 Total in migration: 4,539 2038 Total in migration: 4,552 2037 Total in migration: 4,563 2036 Total in migration: 4,583 2035 Total in migration: 4,566 2034 Total in migration: 4,526 2033 Total in migration: 4,524 2032 Total in migration: 4,548 2031 Total in migration: 4,545 2030 Total in migration: 4,534 2029 Total in migration: 4,479 2028 Total in migration: 4,495 2027 Total in migration: 4,434 2026 Total in migration: 4,425 2025 Total in migration: 4,404 2024 Total in migration: 4,463 2023 Total in migration: 4,515 2022 Total in migration: 4,477 2021 Total in migration: 4,436 2020 Total in migration: 4,370 2019 Total in migration: 4,361 2018 Total in migration: 4,460 2017 Total in migration: 4,456 2016 Total in migration: 4,470 2015 Total in migration: 4,513 2014 Total in migration: 4,535 2043 Total net migration: 109 2042 Total net migration: 96 2041 Total net migration: 91 2040 Total net migration: 70 2039 Total net migration: 55 2038 Total net migration: 63 2037 Total net migration: 70 2036 Total net migration: 90 2035 Total net migration: 73 2034 Total net migration: 30 2033 Total net migration: 25 2032 Total net migration: 52 2031 Total net migration: 52 2030 Total net migration: 48 2029 Total net migration: -8 2028 Total net migration: 11 2027 Total net migration: -54 2026 Total net migration: -72 2025 Total net migration: -103 2024 Total net migration: -52 2023 Total net migration: -5 2022 Total net migration: -46 2021 Total net migration: -95 2020 Total net migration: -176 2019 Total net migration: -197 2018 Total net migration: -109 2017 Total net migration: -130 2016 Total net migration: -137 2015 Total net migration: -117 2014 Total net migration: -124 2043 Total out migration: 4,471 2042 Total out migration: 4,472 2041 Total out migration: 4,475 2040 Total out migration: 4,478 2039 Total out migration: 4,484 2038 Total out migration: 4,489 2037 Total out migration: 4,493 2036 Total out migration: 4,493 2035 Total out migration: 4,493 2034 Total out migration: 4,496 2033 Total out migration: 4,499 2032 Total out migration: 4,496 2031 Total out migration: 4,493 2030 Total out migration: 4,487 2029 Total out migration: 4,487 2028 Total out migration: 4,484 2027 Total out migration: 4,488 2026 Total out migration: 4,497 2025 Total out migration: 4,508 2024 Total out migration: 4,515 2023 Total out migration: 4,520 2022 Total out migration: 4,523 2021 Total out migration: 4,531 2020 Total out migration: 4,545 2019 Total out migration: 4,559 2018 Total out migration: 4,570 2017 Total out migration: 4,586 2016 Total out migration: 4,607 2015 Total out migration: 4,630 2014 Total out migration: 4,659 2043 Total in migration: 4,581 2042 Total in migration: 4,569 2041 Total in migration: 4,565 2040 Total in migration: 4,548 2039 Total in migration: 4,539 2038 Total in migration: 4,552 2037 Total in migration: 4,563 2036 Total in migration: 4,583 2035 Total in migration: 4,566 2034 Total in migration: 4,526 2033 Total in migration: 4,524 2032 Total in migration: 4,548 2031 Total in migration: 4,545 2030 Total in migration: 4,534 2029 Total in migration: 4,479 2028 Total in migration: 4,495 2027 Total in migration: 4,434 2026 Total in migration: 4,425 2025 Total in migration: 4,404 2024 Total in migration: 4,463 2023 Total in migration: 4,515 2022 Total in migration: 4,477 2021 Total in migration: 4,436 2020 Total in migration: 4,370 2019 Total in migration: 4,361 2018 Total in migration: 4,460 2017 Total in migration: 4,456 2016 Total in migration: 4,470 2015 Total in migration: 4,513 2014 Total in migration: 4,535
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
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