Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Far North District

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Far North District indicate a 17.6% decrease in population under working age, a 52.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.6% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Far North District is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Far North District - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 4,5307.53,6666.03,5455.7-985
5 to 9 4,5617.53,8366.23,6765.9-885
10 to 14 4,7127.83,8686.33,6765.9-1,035
15 to 19 4,1426.83,8796.33,1675.1-975
20 to 24 2,9514.92,8444.62,5394.1-413
25 to 29 2,5404.22,6364.32,5224.1-18
30 to 34 2,4904.12,6804.42,7904.5+300
35 to 39 2,9524.92,9244.73,1045.0+152
40 to 44 3,7106.13,2985.43,5345.7-176
45 to 49 4,1596.93,5095.73,7796.1-380
50 to 54 4,6307.63,7966.23,9366.3-694
55 to 59 4,4317.34,1826.84,0856.6-346
60 to 64 4,3227.14,5387.44,3206.9-2
65 to 69 3,8206.34,6117.54,3777.0+557
70 to 74 2,8004.64,0456.64,1876.7+1,387
75 to 79 1,8003.03,2895.33,7116.0+1,911
80 to 84 1,1601.92,3083.72,9564.8+1,796
85 and over8901.51,6662.72,3253.7+1,435
Total persons60,600100.061,576100.062,229100.0+1,629

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 2,325 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 2,956 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 3,711 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 4,187 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 4,377 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 4,320 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 4,085 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 3,936 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 3,779 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 3,534 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 3,104 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 2,790 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 2,522 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 2,539 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 3,167 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 3,676 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 3,676 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 3,545 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 1,666 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 2,308 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 3,289 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 4,045 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 4,611 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 4,538 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 4,182 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 3,796 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 3,509 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 3,298 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 2,924 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 2,680 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 2,636 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 2,844 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 3,879 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 3,868 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 3,836 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 3,666 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 890 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 1,160 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 1,800 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 2,800 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 3,820 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 4,322 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 4,431 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 4,630 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 4,159 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 3,710 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 2,952 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 2,490 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 2,540 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 2,951 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 4,142 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 4,712 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 4,561 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 4,530
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 659 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 649 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 422 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 142 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -234 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -219 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -97 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 140 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 270 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 236 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 180 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 110 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: -114 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: -305 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -713 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -191 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: -160 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: -121 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 776 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 1,148 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 1,490 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 1,245 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 791 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 217 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: -249 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -834 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -650 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -412 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -27 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 189 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 96 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -107 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -263 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -844 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -725 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -864
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Far North District was ages 10 to 14 , which accounted for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 1,490 and account for 5.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 4,611 persons.

v17.12.05-1.0.0