Kāpiti Coast DistrictPopulation forecast
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Kāpiti Coast

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Kāpiti Coast is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2023 to 2028.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Kāpiti Coast depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • The district has several housing markets, shaped by age specific net migration.
  • Gain of couples without children and young families, moving here for relative housing affordability.
  • Increasing gain of family and mature adult age residents in the future, both as a result of dwelling growth and construction of new housing but also due to the relative affordability of the Kapiti Coast District for those who continue to commute to Wellington City for work, especially with the creation of the new expressway to Wellington City.
  • Gain of those in the older age cohorts, aged 55-74 years who move here for a lifestyle change, or a downsize in housing where they may sell up a property in a more expensive housing market and purchase in Kapiti Coast for less.
  • There is also an established retiree community which is anticipated to continue growing as the area carries on being a desirable destination for people in those age groups.
  • Due to availability of many aged care facilities and anticipation of more in the future, there is also an increase of 80-89 year olds, more so in the short term due to the opening of the Charles Fleming Retirement Village.
  • The District will continue to lose young adults aged 18-24 who leave the District in search of education and employment opportunities elsewhere regionally (e.g. Wellington City) or further away.