Kāpiti Coast DistrictPopulation forecast
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Kāpiti Coast

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Kāpiti Coast is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2023 to 2028.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Kāpiti Coast depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • The district has several housing markets, shaped by age specific net migration.
  • Gain of couples without children and young families, moving here for relative housing affordability.
  • Increasing gain of family and mature adult age residents in the future, both as a result of dwelling growth and construction of new housing but also due to the relative affordability of the Kapiti Coast District for those who continue to commute to Wellington City for work, especially with the creation of the new expressway to Wellington City.
  • Gain of those in the older age cohorts, aged 55-74 years who move here for a lifestyle change, or a downsize in housing where they may sell up a property in a more expensive housing market and purchase in Kapiti Coast for less.
  • There is also an established retiree community which is anticipated to continue growing as the area carries on being a desirable destination for people in those age groups.
  • Due to availability of many aged care facilities and anticipation of more in the future, there is also an increase of 80-89 year olds, more so in the short term due to the opening of the Charles Fleming Retirement Village.
  • The District will continue to lose young adults aged 18-24 who leave the District in search of education and employment opportunities elsewhere regionally (e.g. Wellington City) or further away.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2023 to 2028: -115 Persons aged 80-84,  2023 to 2028: 81 Persons aged 75-79,  2023 to 2028: 139 Persons aged 70-74,  2023 to 2028: 321 Persons aged 65-69,  2023 to 2028: 330 Persons aged 60-64,  2023 to 2028: 316 Persons aged 55-59,  2023 to 2028: 158 Persons aged 50-54,  2023 to 2028: 126 Persons aged 45-49,  2023 to 2028: 301 Persons aged 40-44,  2023 to 2028: 427 Persons aged 35-39,  2023 to 2028: 680 Persons aged 30-34,  2023 to 2028: 566 Persons aged 25-29,  2023 to 2028: 25 Persons aged 20-24,  2023 to 2028: -648 Persons aged 15-19,  2023 to 2028: -506 Persons aged 10-14,  2023 to 2028: -144 Persons aged 5-9,  2023 to 2028: 324 Persons aged 0-4,  2023 to 2028: 541 0 2018 to 2023: -47 0 2018 to 2023: 128 0 2018 to 2023: 163 0 2018 to 2023: 295 0 2018 to 2023: 351 0 2018 to 2023: 316 0 2018 to 2023: 126 0 2018 to 2023: 54 0 2018 to 2023: 209 0 2018 to 2023: 387 0 2018 to 2023: 634 0 2018 to 2023: 530 0 2018 to 2023: 14 0 2018 to 2023: -694 0 2018 to 2023: -478 0 2018 to 2023: -138 0 2018 to 2023: 321 0 2018 to 2023: 518 Persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2018: 63 Persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2018: 170 Persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2018: 181 Persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2018: 301 Persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2018: 300 Persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2018: 309 Persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2018: 96 Persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2018: 23 Persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2018: 124 Persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2018: 304 Persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2018: 638 Persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2018: 479 Persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2018: -38 Persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2018: -646 Persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2018: -501 Persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2018: -74 Persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2018: 284 Persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2018: 449 Persons aged 85+,  2023 to 2028: -115 Persons aged 80-84,  2023 to 2028: 81 Persons aged 75-79,  2023 to 2028: 139 Persons aged 70-74,  2023 to 2028: 321 Persons aged 65-69,  2023 to 2028: 330 Persons aged 60-64,  2023 to 2028: 316 Persons aged 55-59,  2023 to 2028: 158 Persons aged 50-54,  2023 to 2028: 126 Persons aged 45-49,  2023 to 2028: 301 Persons aged 40-44,  2023 to 2028: 427 Persons aged 35-39,  2023 to 2028: 680 Persons aged 30-34,  2023 to 2028: 566 Persons aged 25-29,  2023 to 2028: 25 Persons aged 20-24,  2023 to 2028: -648 Persons aged 15-19,  2023 to 2028: -506 Persons aged 10-14,  2023 to 2028: -144 Persons aged 5-9,  2023 to 2028: 324 Persons aged 0-4,  2023 to 2028: 541 0 2018 to 2023: -47 0 2018 to 2023: 128 0 2018 to 2023: 163 0 2018 to 2023: 295 0 2018 to 2023: 351 0 2018 to 2023: 316 0 2018 to 2023: 126 0 2018 to 2023: 54 0 2018 to 2023: 209 0 2018 to 2023: 387 0 2018 to 2023: 634 0 2018 to 2023: 530 0 2018 to 2023: 14 0 2018 to 2023: -694 0 2018 to 2023: -478 0 2018 to 2023: -138 0 2018 to 2023: 321 0 2018 to 2023: 518 Persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2018: 63 Persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2018: 170 Persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2018: 181 Persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2018: 301 Persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2018: 300 Persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2018: 309 Persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2018: 96 Persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2018: 23 Persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2018: 124 Persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2018: 304 Persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2018: 638 Persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2018: 479 Persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2018: -38 Persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2018: -646 Persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2018: -501 Persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2018: -74 Persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2018: 284 Persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2018: 449
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2017.
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