Porirua CityPopulation forecast
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Porirua City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Porirua City is forecast for the period from 2019 to 2023, which is expected to have a net increase of 2,373 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Porirua CityForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births4,3694,3724,3964,4224,4554,479
Deaths2,1132,2032,4632,7102,9243,196
Natural increase/decrease2,2572,1691,9331,7121,5311,283
Net migration-333134-34499123366
Change in persons in non-private dwellings0704050500

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, April 2016.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 349 2042 forecast population change: 342 2041 forecast population change: 331 2040 forecast population change: 318 2039 forecast population change: 308 2038 forecast population change: 272 2037 forecast population change: 289 2036 forecast population change: 356 2035 forecast population change: 415 2034 forecast population change: 375 2033 forecast population change: 428 2032 forecast population change: 359 2031 forecast population change: 376 2030 forecast population change: 354 2029 forecast population change: 344 2028 forecast population change: 297 2027 forecast population change: 281 2026 forecast population change: 295 2025 forecast population change: 355 2024 forecast population change: 401 2023 forecast population change: 454 2022 forecast population change: 501 2021 forecast population change: 455 2020 forecast population change: 493 2019 forecast population change: 471 2018 forecast population change: 600 2017 forecast population change: 428 2016 forecast population change: 397 2015 forecast population change: 283 2014 forecast population change: 215
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2016.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: 240 2042 Natural increase: 246 2041 Natural increase: 255 2040 Natural increase: 265 2039 Natural increase: 277 2038 Natural increase: 291 2037 Natural increase: 298 2036 Natural increase: 307 2035 Natural increase: 313 2034 Natural increase: 322 2033 Natural increase: 327 2032 Natural increase: 334 2031 Natural increase: 342 2030 Natural increase: 351 2029 Natural increase: 359 2028 Natural increase: 370 2027 Natural increase: 379 2026 Natural increase: 386 2025 Natural increase: 396 2024 Natural increase: 402 2023 Natural increase: 414 2022 Natural increase: 425 2021 Natural increase: 436 2020 Natural increase: 444 2019 Natural increase: 451 2018 Natural increase: 454 2017 Natural increase: 455 2016 Natural increase: 455 2015 Natural increase: 453 2014 Natural increase: 441 2043 Total deaths: 661 2042 Total deaths: 651 2041 Total deaths: 640 2040 Total deaths: 629 2039 Total deaths: 615 2038 Total deaths: 601 2037 Total deaths: 594 2036 Total deaths: 585 2035 Total deaths: 577 2034 Total deaths: 567 2033 Total deaths: 559 2032 Total deaths: 552 2031 Total deaths: 543 2030 Total deaths: 533 2029 Total deaths: 524 2028 Total deaths: 512 2027 Total deaths: 502 2026 Total deaths: 493 2025 Total deaths: 482 2024 Total deaths: 475 2023 Total deaths: 463 2022 Total deaths: 449 2021 Total deaths: 439 2020 Total deaths: 430 2019 Total deaths: 421 2018 Total deaths: 414 2017 Total deaths: 415 2016 Total deaths: 418 2015 Total deaths: 425 2014 Total deaths: 441 2043 Total births: 900 2042 Total births: 897 2041 Total births: 895 2040 Total births: 894 2039 Total births: 892 2038 Total births: 892 2037 Total births: 892 2036 Total births: 892 2035 Total births: 890 2034 Total births: 889 2033 Total births: 886 2032 Total births: 886 2031 Total births: 885 2030 Total births: 883 2029 Total births: 882 2028 Total births: 882 2027 Total births: 880 2026 Total births: 879 2025 Total births: 878 2024 Total births: 877 2023 Total births: 877 2022 Total births: 874 2021 Total births: 875 2020 Total births: 874 2019 Total births: 871 2018 Total births: 867 2017 Total births: 870 2016 Total births: 873 2015 Total births: 878 2014 Total births: 881 2043 Natural increase: 240 2042 Natural increase: 246 2041 Natural increase: 255 2040 Natural increase: 265 2039 Natural increase: 277 2038 Natural increase: 291 2037 Natural increase: 298 2036 Natural increase: 307 2035 Natural increase: 313 2034 Natural increase: 322 2033 Natural increase: 327 2032 Natural increase: 334 2031 Natural increase: 342 2030 Natural increase: 351 2029 Natural increase: 359 2028 Natural increase: 370 2027 Natural increase: 379 2026 Natural increase: 386 2025 Natural increase: 396 2024 Natural increase: 402 2023 Natural increase: 414 2022 Natural increase: 425 2021 Natural increase: 436 2020 Natural increase: 444 2019 Natural increase: 451 2018 Natural increase: 454 2017 Natural increase: 455 2016 Natural increase: 455 2015 Natural increase: 453 2014 Natural increase: 441 2043 Total deaths: 661 2042 Total deaths: 651 2041 Total deaths: 640 2040 Total deaths: 629 2039 Total deaths: 615 2038 Total deaths: 601 2037 Total deaths: 594 2036 Total deaths: 585 2035 Total deaths: 577 2034 Total deaths: 567 2033 Total deaths: 559 2032 Total deaths: 552 2031 Total deaths: 543 2030 Total deaths: 533 2029 Total deaths: 524 2028 Total deaths: 512 2027 Total deaths: 502 2026 Total deaths: 493 2025 Total deaths: 482 2024 Total deaths: 475 2023 Total deaths: 463 2022 Total deaths: 449 2021 Total deaths: 439 2020 Total deaths: 430 2019 Total deaths: 421 2018 Total deaths: 414 2017 Total deaths: 415 2016 Total deaths: 418 2015 Total deaths: 425 2014 Total deaths: 441 2043 Total births: 900 2042 Total births: 897 2041 Total births: 895 2040 Total births: 894 2039 Total births: 892 2038 Total births: 892 2037 Total births: 892 2036 Total births: 892 2035 Total births: 890 2034 Total births: 889 2033 Total births: 886 2032 Total births: 886 2031 Total births: 885 2030 Total births: 883 2029 Total births: 882 2028 Total births: 882 2027 Total births: 880 2026 Total births: 879 2025 Total births: 878 2024 Total births: 877 2023 Total births: 877 2022 Total births: 874 2021 Total births: 875 2020 Total births: 874 2019 Total births: 871 2018 Total births: 867 2017 Total births: 870 2016 Total births: 873 2015 Total births: 878 2014 Total births: 881
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2016.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 110 2042 Total net migration: 96 2041 Total net migration: 76 2040 Total net migration: 53 2039 Total net migration: 31 2038 Total net migration: -19 2037 Total net migration: -9 2036 Total net migration: 24 2035 Total net migration: 77 2034 Total net migration: 53 2033 Total net migration: 51 2032 Total net migration: 25 2031 Total net migration: 34 2030 Total net migration: 4 2029 Total net migration: -14 2028 Total net migration: -93 2027 Total net migration: -98 2026 Total net migration: -91 2025 Total net migration: -60 2024 Total net migration: -2 2023 Total net migration: 10 2022 Total net migration: 36 2021 Total net migration: 19 2020 Total net migration: 49 2019 Total net migration: 20 2018 Total net migration: 147 2017 Total net migration: -27 2016 Total net migration: -58 2015 Total net migration: -169 2014 Total net migration: -225 2043 Total out migration: 5,142 2042 Total out migration: 5,118 2041 Total out migration: 5,095 2040 Total out migration: 5,075 2039 Total out migration: 5,057 2038 Total out migration: 5,044 2037 Total out migration: 5,029 2036 Total out migration: 5,010 2035 Total out migration: 4,986 2034 Total out migration: 4,965 2033 Total out migration: 4,939 2032 Total out migration: 4,915 2031 Total out migration: 4,890 2030 Total out migration: 4,868 2029 Total out migration: 4,847 2028 Total out migration: 4,833 2027 Total out migration: 4,820 2026 Total out migration: 4,806 2025 Total out migration: 4,791 2024 Total out migration: 4,771 2023 Total out migration: 4,749 2022 Total out migration: 4,725 2021 Total out migration: 4,701 2020 Total out migration: 4,673 2019 Total out migration: 4,646 2018 Total out migration: 4,605 2017 Total out migration: 4,585 2016 Total out migration: 4,567 2015 Total out migration: 4,563 2014 Total out migration: 4,567 2043 Total in migration: 5,252 2042 Total in migration: 5,214 2041 Total in migration: 5,172 2040 Total in migration: 5,129 2039 Total in migration: 5,088 2038 Total in migration: 5,025 2037 Total in migration: 5,019 2036 Total in migration: 5,035 2035 Total in migration: 5,063 2034 Total in migration: 5,015 2033 Total in migration: 4,989 2032 Total in migration: 4,941 2031 Total in migration: 4,924 2030 Total in migration: 4,871 2029 Total in migration: 4,833 2028 Total in migration: 4,740 2027 Total in migration: 4,722 2026 Total in migration: 4,715 2025 Total in migration: 4,731 2024 Total in migration: 4,769 2023 Total in migration: 4,758 2022 Total in migration: 4,760 2021 Total in migration: 4,720 2020 Total in migration: 4,722 2019 Total in migration: 4,666 2018 Total in migration: 4,752 2017 Total in migration: 4,558 2016 Total in migration: 4,509 2015 Total in migration: 4,394 2014 Total in migration: 4,342 2043 Total net migration: 110 2042 Total net migration: 96 2041 Total net migration: 76 2040 Total net migration: 53 2039 Total net migration: 31 2038 Total net migration: -19 2037 Total net migration: -9 2036 Total net migration: 24 2035 Total net migration: 77 2034 Total net migration: 53 2033 Total net migration: 51 2032 Total net migration: 25 2031 Total net migration: 34 2030 Total net migration: 4 2029 Total net migration: -14 2028 Total net migration: -93 2027 Total net migration: -98 2026 Total net migration: -91 2025 Total net migration: -60 2024 Total net migration: -2 2023 Total net migration: 10 2022 Total net migration: 36 2021 Total net migration: 19 2020 Total net migration: 49 2019 Total net migration: 20 2018 Total net migration: 147 2017 Total net migration: -27 2016 Total net migration: -58 2015 Total net migration: -169 2014 Total net migration: -225 2043 Total out migration: 5,142 2042 Total out migration: 5,118 2041 Total out migration: 5,095 2040 Total out migration: 5,075 2039 Total out migration: 5,057 2038 Total out migration: 5,044 2037 Total out migration: 5,029 2036 Total out migration: 5,010 2035 Total out migration: 4,986 2034 Total out migration: 4,965 2033 Total out migration: 4,939 2032 Total out migration: 4,915 2031 Total out migration: 4,890 2030 Total out migration: 4,868 2029 Total out migration: 4,847 2028 Total out migration: 4,833 2027 Total out migration: 4,820 2026 Total out migration: 4,806 2025 Total out migration: 4,791 2024 Total out migration: 4,771 2023 Total out migration: 4,749 2022 Total out migration: 4,725 2021 Total out migration: 4,701 2020 Total out migration: 4,673 2019 Total out migration: 4,646 2018 Total out migration: 4,605 2017 Total out migration: 4,585 2016 Total out migration: 4,567 2015 Total out migration: 4,563 2014 Total out migration: 4,567 2043 Total in migration: 5,252 2042 Total in migration: 5,214 2041 Total in migration: 5,172 2040 Total in migration: 5,129 2039 Total in migration: 5,088 2038 Total in migration: 5,025 2037 Total in migration: 5,019 2036 Total in migration: 5,035 2035 Total in migration: 5,063 2034 Total in migration: 5,015 2033 Total in migration: 4,989 2032 Total in migration: 4,941 2031 Total in migration: 4,924 2030 Total in migration: 4,871 2029 Total in migration: 4,833 2028 Total in migration: 4,740 2027 Total in migration: 4,722 2026 Total in migration: 4,715 2025 Total in migration: 4,731 2024 Total in migration: 4,769 2023 Total in migration: 4,758 2022 Total in migration: 4,760 2021 Total in migration: 4,720 2020 Total in migration: 4,722 2019 Total in migration: 4,666 2018 Total in migration: 4,752 2017 Total in migration: 4,558 2016 Total in migration: 4,509 2015 Total in migration: 4,394 2014 Total in migration: 4,342
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2016.
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