Porirua CityPopulation forecast
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Porirua City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Porirua City is forecast for the period from 2019 to 2023, which is expected to have a net increase of 3,747 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Porirua CityForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births4,3764,4384,5004,4864,5124,530
Deaths2,1162,2232,4922,7312,9473,226
Natural increase/decrease2,2602,2152,0081,7551,5651,305
Net migration-2741,463-978-9101340
Change in persons in non-private dwellings0704050500

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, April 2016.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 346 2042 forecast population change: 341 2041 forecast population change: 350 2040 forecast population change: 309 2039 forecast population change: 299 2038 forecast population change: 294 2037 forecast population change: 298 2036 forecast population change: 356 2035 forecast population change: 407 2034 forecast population change: 366 2033 forecast population change: 417 2032 forecast population change: 346 2031 forecast population change: 363 2030 forecast population change: 339 2029 forecast population change: 331 2028 forecast population change: 284 2027 forecast population change: 205 2026 forecast population change: 188 2025 forecast population change: 167 2024 forecast population change: 226 2023 forecast population change: 655 2022 forecast population change: 780 2021 forecast population change: 785 2020 forecast population change: 826 2019 forecast population change: 703 2018 forecast population change: 534 2017 forecast population change: 459 2016 forecast population change: 420 2015 forecast population change: 309 2014 forecast population change: 265
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2016.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: 242 2042 Natural increase: 250 2041 Natural increase: 259 2040 Natural increase: 270 2039 Natural increase: 283 2038 Natural increase: 297 2037 Natural increase: 305 2036 Natural increase: 313 2035 Natural increase: 320 2034 Natural increase: 329 2033 Natural increase: 335 2032 Natural increase: 342 2031 Natural increase: 351 2030 Natural increase: 360 2029 Natural increase: 368 2028 Natural increase: 380 2027 Natural increase: 390 2026 Natural increase: 400 2025 Natural increase: 414 2024 Natural increase: 424 2023 Natural increase: 433 2022 Natural increase: 439 2021 Natural increase: 445 2020 Natural increase: 447 2019 Natural increase: 450 2018 Natural increase: 455 2017 Natural increase: 456 2016 Natural increase: 456 2015 Natural increase: 453 2014 Natural increase: 441 2043 Total deaths: 667 2042 Total deaths: 657 2041 Total deaths: 646 2040 Total deaths: 634 2039 Total deaths: 621 2038 Total deaths: 607 2037 Total deaths: 599 2036 Total deaths: 590 2035 Total deaths: 581 2034 Total deaths: 571 2033 Total deaths: 564 2032 Total deaths: 556 2031 Total deaths: 547 2030 Total deaths: 537 2029 Total deaths: 527 2028 Total deaths: 516 2027 Total deaths: 506 2026 Total deaths: 498 2025 Total deaths: 489 2024 Total deaths: 483 2023 Total deaths: 471 2022 Total deaths: 455 2021 Total deaths: 443 2020 Total deaths: 432 2019 Total deaths: 421 2018 Total deaths: 415 2017 Total deaths: 416 2016 Total deaths: 418 2015 Total deaths: 426 2014 Total deaths: 441 2043 Total births: 909 2042 Total births: 907 2041 Total births: 906 2040 Total births: 905 2039 Total births: 904 2038 Total births: 904 2037 Total births: 903 2036 Total births: 903 2035 Total births: 902 2034 Total births: 900 2033 Total births: 899 2032 Total births: 898 2031 Total births: 897 2030 Total births: 896 2029 Total births: 896 2028 Total births: 896 2027 Total births: 896 2026 Total births: 898 2025 Total births: 902 2024 Total births: 907 2023 Total births: 903 2022 Total births: 895 2021 Total births: 889 2020 Total births: 879 2019 Total births: 871 2018 Total births: 870 2017 Total births: 872 2016 Total births: 874 2015 Total births: 878 2014 Total births: 881 2043 Natural increase: 242 2042 Natural increase: 250 2041 Natural increase: 259 2040 Natural increase: 270 2039 Natural increase: 283 2038 Natural increase: 297 2037 Natural increase: 305 2036 Natural increase: 313 2035 Natural increase: 320 2034 Natural increase: 329 2033 Natural increase: 335 2032 Natural increase: 342 2031 Natural increase: 351 2030 Natural increase: 360 2029 Natural increase: 368 2028 Natural increase: 380 2027 Natural increase: 390 2026 Natural increase: 400 2025 Natural increase: 414 2024 Natural increase: 424 2023 Natural increase: 433 2022 Natural increase: 439 2021 Natural increase: 445 2020 Natural increase: 447 2019 Natural increase: 450 2018 Natural increase: 455 2017 Natural increase: 456 2016 Natural increase: 456 2015 Natural increase: 453 2014 Natural increase: 441 2043 Total deaths: 667 2042 Total deaths: 657 2041 Total deaths: 646 2040 Total deaths: 634 2039 Total deaths: 621 2038 Total deaths: 607 2037 Total deaths: 599 2036 Total deaths: 590 2035 Total deaths: 581 2034 Total deaths: 571 2033 Total deaths: 564 2032 Total deaths: 556 2031 Total deaths: 547 2030 Total deaths: 537 2029 Total deaths: 527 2028 Total deaths: 516 2027 Total deaths: 506 2026 Total deaths: 498 2025 Total deaths: 489 2024 Total deaths: 483 2023 Total deaths: 471 2022 Total deaths: 455 2021 Total deaths: 443 2020 Total deaths: 432 2019 Total deaths: 421 2018 Total deaths: 415 2017 Total deaths: 416 2016 Total deaths: 418 2015 Total deaths: 426 2014 Total deaths: 441 2043 Total births: 909 2042 Total births: 907 2041 Total births: 906 2040 Total births: 905 2039 Total births: 904 2038 Total births: 904 2037 Total births: 903 2036 Total births: 903 2035 Total births: 902 2034 Total births: 900 2033 Total births: 899 2032 Total births: 898 2031 Total births: 897 2030 Total births: 896 2029 Total births: 896 2028 Total births: 896 2027 Total births: 896 2026 Total births: 898 2025 Total births: 902 2024 Total births: 907 2023 Total births: 903 2022 Total births: 895 2021 Total births: 889 2020 Total births: 879 2019 Total births: 871 2018 Total births: 870 2017 Total births: 872 2016 Total births: 874 2015 Total births: 878 2014 Total births: 881
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2016.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 104 2042 Total net migration: 91 2041 Total net migration: 91 2040 Total net migration: 38 2039 Total net migration: 16 2038 Total net migration: -3 2037 Total net migration: -7 2036 Total net migration: 17 2035 Total net migration: 62 2034 Total net migration: 35 2033 Total net migration: 32 2032 Total net migration: 4 2031 Total net migration: 13 2030 Total net migration: -21 2029 Total net migration: -37 2028 Total net migration: -116 2027 Total net migration: -185 2026 Total net migration: -212 2025 Total net migration: -267 2024 Total net migration: -198 2023 Total net migration: 192 2022 Total net migration: 300 2021 Total net migration: 339 2020 Total net migration: 379 2019 Total net migration: 253 2018 Total net migration: 79 2017 Total net migration: 3 2016 Total net migration: -35 2015 Total net migration: -144 2014 Total net migration: -176 2043 Total out migration: 5,210 2042 Total out migration: 5,187 2041 Total out migration: 5,163 2040 Total out migration: 5,144 2039 Total out migration: 5,127 2038 Total out migration: 5,112 2037 Total out migration: 5,097 2036 Total out migration: 5,079 2035 Total out migration: 5,056 2034 Total out migration: 5,035 2033 Total out migration: 5,011 2032 Total out migration: 4,989 2031 Total out migration: 4,965 2030 Total out migration: 4,945 2029 Total out migration: 4,925 2028 Total out migration: 4,914 2027 Total out migration: 4,909 2026 Total out migration: 4,908 2025 Total out migration: 4,915 2024 Total out migration: 4,914 2023 Total out migration: 4,873 2022 Total out migration: 4,821 2021 Total out migration: 4,764 2020 Total out migration: 4,702 2019 Total out migration: 4,651 2018 Total out migration: 4,617 2017 Total out migration: 4,594 2016 Total out migration: 4,575 2015 Total out migration: 4,568 2014 Total out migration: 4,567 2043 Total in migration: 5,314 2042 Total in migration: 5,278 2041 Total in migration: 5,254 2040 Total in migration: 5,183 2039 Total in migration: 5,143 2038 Total in migration: 5,109 2037 Total in migration: 5,090 2036 Total in migration: 5,096 2035 Total in migration: 5,117 2034 Total in migration: 5,067 2033 Total in migration: 5,043 2032 Total in migration: 4,993 2031 Total in migration: 4,978 2030 Total in migration: 4,923 2029 Total in migration: 4,889 2028 Total in migration: 4,797 2027 Total in migration: 4,723 2026 Total in migration: 4,696 2025 Total in migration: 4,648 2024 Total in migration: 4,717 2023 Total in migration: 5,065 2022 Total in migration: 5,121 2021 Total in migration: 5,103 2020 Total in migration: 5,080 2019 Total in migration: 4,903 2018 Total in migration: 4,696 2017 Total in migration: 4,597 2016 Total in migration: 4,539 2015 Total in migration: 4,424 2014 Total in migration: 4,391 2043 Total net migration: 104 2042 Total net migration: 91 2041 Total net migration: 91 2040 Total net migration: 38 2039 Total net migration: 16 2038 Total net migration: -3 2037 Total net migration: -7 2036 Total net migration: 17 2035 Total net migration: 62 2034 Total net migration: 35 2033 Total net migration: 32 2032 Total net migration: 4 2031 Total net migration: 13 2030 Total net migration: -21 2029 Total net migration: -37 2028 Total net migration: -116 2027 Total net migration: -185 2026 Total net migration: -212 2025 Total net migration: -267 2024 Total net migration: -198 2023 Total net migration: 192 2022 Total net migration: 300 2021 Total net migration: 339 2020 Total net migration: 379 2019 Total net migration: 253 2018 Total net migration: 79 2017 Total net migration: 3 2016 Total net migration: -35 2015 Total net migration: -144 2014 Total net migration: -176 2043 Total out migration: 5,210 2042 Total out migration: 5,187 2041 Total out migration: 5,163 2040 Total out migration: 5,144 2039 Total out migration: 5,127 2038 Total out migration: 5,112 2037 Total out migration: 5,097 2036 Total out migration: 5,079 2035 Total out migration: 5,056 2034 Total out migration: 5,035 2033 Total out migration: 5,011 2032 Total out migration: 4,989 2031 Total out migration: 4,965 2030 Total out migration: 4,945 2029 Total out migration: 4,925 2028 Total out migration: 4,914 2027 Total out migration: 4,909 2026 Total out migration: 4,908 2025 Total out migration: 4,915 2024 Total out migration: 4,914 2023 Total out migration: 4,873 2022 Total out migration: 4,821 2021 Total out migration: 4,764 2020 Total out migration: 4,702 2019 Total out migration: 4,651 2018 Total out migration: 4,617 2017 Total out migration: 4,594 2016 Total out migration: 4,575 2015 Total out migration: 4,568 2014 Total out migration: 4,567 2043 Total in migration: 5,314 2042 Total in migration: 5,278 2041 Total in migration: 5,254 2040 Total in migration: 5,183 2039 Total in migration: 5,143 2038 Total in migration: 5,109 2037 Total in migration: 5,090 2036 Total in migration: 5,096 2035 Total in migration: 5,117 2034 Total in migration: 5,067 2033 Total in migration: 5,043 2032 Total in migration: 4,993 2031 Total in migration: 4,978 2030 Total in migration: 4,923 2029 Total in migration: 4,889 2028 Total in migration: 4,797 2027 Total in migration: 4,723 2026 Total in migration: 4,696 2025 Total in migration: 4,648 2024 Total in migration: 4,717 2023 Total in migration: 5,065 2022 Total in migration: 5,121 2021 Total in migration: 5,103 2020 Total in migration: 5,080 2019 Total in migration: 4,903 2018 Total in migration: 4,696 2017 Total in migration: 4,597 2016 Total in migration: 4,539 2015 Total in migration: 4,424 2014 Total in migration: 4,391
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2016.
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