Porirua CityPopulation forecast
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Porirua City

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Porirua City will increase by an average of 186 dwellings per annum to 23,673 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Porirua City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2013 to 2043
Porirua CityChange in dwellings between 2013 and 2043
Areanumber%
Porirua City+5,569+30.8
Ascot Park+140+16.4
Lower Cannons Creek+52+3.6
Paekakariki Hill-Pauatahanui+952+219.4
Paremata-Camborne-Mana-Inlet+359+33.9
Paremata-Papakowhai+802+36.6
Porirua East-Ranui Heights+53+4.4
Porirua-Elsdon-Takapuwahia+581+68.7
Pukerua Bay-Plimmerton+1,288+78.0
Titahi Bay+142+8.4
Titahi Bay South-Mana Island+179+13.4
Upper Cannons Creek+18+1.8
Waitangirua+44+4.0
Whitby East+815+44.0
Whitby West+144+10.0

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, April 2016.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2043 Total dwellings: 23,673 2042 Total dwellings: 23,523 2041 Total dwellings: 23,373 2040 Total dwellings: 23,223 2039 Total dwellings: 23,073 2038 Total dwellings: 22,923 2037 Total dwellings: 22,778 2036 Total dwellings: 22,626 2035 Total dwellings: 22,455 2034 Total dwellings: 22,263 2033 Total dwellings: 22,070 2032 Total dwellings: 21,880 2031 Total dwellings: 21,690 2030 Total dwellings: 21,500 2029 Total dwellings: 21,312 2028 Total dwellings: 21,130 2027 Total dwellings: 20,974 2026 Total dwellings: 20,815 2025 Total dwellings: 20,651 2024 Total dwellings: 20,473 2023 Total dwellings: 20,269 2022 Total dwellings: 20,074 2021 Total dwellings: 19,852 2020 Total dwellings: 19,630 2019 Total dwellings: 19,404 2018 Total dwellings: 19,172 2017 Total dwellings: 18,894 2016 Total dwellings: 18,652 2015 Total dwellings: 18,421 2014 Total dwellings: 18,227 2043 Total dwellings: 23,673 2042 Total dwellings: 23,523 2041 Total dwellings: 23,373 2040 Total dwellings: 23,223 2039 Total dwellings: 23,073 2038 Total dwellings: 22,923 2037 Total dwellings: 22,778 2036 Total dwellings: 22,626 2035 Total dwellings: 22,455 2034 Total dwellings: 22,263 2033 Total dwellings: 22,070 2032 Total dwellings: 21,880 2031 Total dwellings: 21,690 2030 Total dwellings: 21,500 2029 Total dwellings: 21,312 2028 Total dwellings: 21,130 2027 Total dwellings: 20,974 2026 Total dwellings: 20,815 2025 Total dwellings: 20,651 2024 Total dwellings: 20,473 2023 Total dwellings: 20,269 2022 Total dwellings: 20,074 2021 Total dwellings: 19,852 2020 Total dwellings: 19,630 2019 Total dwellings: 19,404 2018 Total dwellings: 19,172 2017 Total dwellings: 18,894 2016 Total dwellings: 18,652 2015 Total dwellings: 18,421 2014 Total dwellings: 18,227 2043 Forecast development: 150 2042 Forecast development: 150 2041 Forecast development: 150 2040 Forecast development: 150 2039 Forecast development: 150 2038 Forecast development: 145 2037 Forecast development: 152 2036 Forecast development: 171 2035 Forecast development: 192 2034 Forecast development: 193 2033 Forecast development: 190 2032 Forecast development: 190 2031 Forecast development: 190 2030 Forecast development: 188 2029 Forecast development: 182 2028 Forecast development: 156 2027 Forecast development: 159 2026 Forecast development: 164 2025 Forecast development: 178 2024 Forecast development: 204 2023 Forecast development: 195 2022 Forecast development: 222 2021 Forecast development: 222 2020 Forecast development: 226 2019 Forecast development: 232 2018 Forecast development: 278 2017 Forecast development: 242 2016 Forecast development: 231 2015 Forecast development: 194 2014 Forecast development: 123
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2016.
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