Porirua CityPopulation forecast
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Porirua City

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Porirua City will increase by an average of 195 dwellings per annum to 23,951 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Porirua City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2013 to 2043
Porirua CityChange in dwellings between 2013 and 2043
Areanumber%
Porirua City+5,847+32.3
Ascot Park+140+16.4
Lower Cannons Creek+52+3.6
Paekakariki Hill-Pauatahanui+1,070+246.5
Paremata-Camborne-Mana-Inlet+359+33.9
Paremata-Papakowhai+802+36.6
Porirua East-Ranui Heights+53+4.4
Porirua-Elsdon-Takapuwahia+859+101.5
Pukerua Bay-Plimmerton+1,169+70.8
Titahi Bay+142+8.4
Titahi Bay South-Mana Island+179+13.4
Upper Cannons Creek+18+1.8
Waitangirua+44+4.0
Whitby East+816+44.0
Whitby West+144+10.0

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, April 2016.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2043 Total dwellings: 23,951 2042 Total dwellings: 23,806 2041 Total dwellings: 23,660 2040 Total dwellings: 23,507 2039 Total dwellings: 23,363 2038 Total dwellings: 23,217 2037 Total dwellings: 23,063 2036 Total dwellings: 22,906 2035 Total dwellings: 22,733 2034 Total dwellings: 22,541 2033 Total dwellings: 22,348 2032 Total dwellings: 22,158 2031 Total dwellings: 21,968 2030 Total dwellings: 21,778 2029 Total dwellings: 21,590 2028 Total dwellings: 21,407 2027 Total dwellings: 21,250 2026 Total dwellings: 21,110 2025 Total dwellings: 20,975 2024 Total dwellings: 20,853 2023 Total dwellings: 20,702 2022 Total dwellings: 20,440 2021 Total dwellings: 20,126 2020 Total dwellings: 19,796 2019 Total dwellings: 19,461 2018 Total dwellings: 19,153 2017 Total dwellings: 18,902 2016 Total dwellings: 18,657 2015 Total dwellings: 18,425 2014 Total dwellings: 18,229 2043 Total dwellings: 23,951 2042 Total dwellings: 23,806 2041 Total dwellings: 23,660 2040 Total dwellings: 23,507 2039 Total dwellings: 23,363 2038 Total dwellings: 23,217 2037 Total dwellings: 23,063 2036 Total dwellings: 22,906 2035 Total dwellings: 22,733 2034 Total dwellings: 22,541 2033 Total dwellings: 22,348 2032 Total dwellings: 22,158 2031 Total dwellings: 21,968 2030 Total dwellings: 21,778 2029 Total dwellings: 21,590 2028 Total dwellings: 21,407 2027 Total dwellings: 21,250 2026 Total dwellings: 21,110 2025 Total dwellings: 20,975 2024 Total dwellings: 20,853 2023 Total dwellings: 20,702 2022 Total dwellings: 20,440 2021 Total dwellings: 20,126 2020 Total dwellings: 19,796 2019 Total dwellings: 19,461 2018 Total dwellings: 19,153 2017 Total dwellings: 18,902 2016 Total dwellings: 18,657 2015 Total dwellings: 18,425 2014 Total dwellings: 18,229 2043 Forecast development: 145 2042 Forecast development: 146 2041 Forecast development: 153 2040 Forecast development: 144 2039 Forecast development: 146 2038 Forecast development: 154 2037 Forecast development: 157 2036 Forecast development: 173 2035 Forecast development: 192 2034 Forecast development: 193 2033 Forecast development: 190 2032 Forecast development: 190 2031 Forecast development: 190 2030 Forecast development: 188 2029 Forecast development: 183 2028 Forecast development: 157 2027 Forecast development: 140 2026 Forecast development: 135 2025 Forecast development: 122 2024 Forecast development: 151 2023 Forecast development: 262 2022 Forecast development: 314 2021 Forecast development: 330 2020 Forecast development: 335 2019 Forecast development: 308 2018 Forecast development: 251 2017 Forecast development: 245 2016 Forecast development: 232 2015 Forecast development: 196 2014 Forecast development: 125
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2016.
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