Upper HuttPopulation forecast
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Upper Hutt City

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Upper Hutt City is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2023 to 2028.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Upper Hutt City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Upper Hutt City experiences a relatively consistent migration profile over time
  • A gain of young and established families aged 25-44 years with children aged 0-9 years
  • A loss of young adults aged 15-24 years old (represeitativy mainly of 18-24 year olds) leaving Upper Hutt City for education and employment opportunities in Wellington City or elsewhere in the region or further afield
  • Slight loss of mature adults, empty nesters and early retirees aged 50-64 years
  • Some slight gain of the elderly aged 80+ years, attracted to the area for the development of several retirement village and aged care facilities and for the proximity to healthcare services.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2023 to 2028: -19 Persons aged 80-84,  2023 to 2028: 77 Persons aged 75-79,  2023 to 2028: -32 Persons aged 70-74,  2023 to 2028: -30 Persons aged 65-69,  2023 to 2028: -86 Persons aged 60-64,  2023 to 2028: -121 Persons aged 55-59,  2023 to 2028: -171 Persons aged 50-54,  2023 to 2028: -63 Persons aged 45-49,  2023 to 2028: 1 Persons aged 40-44,  2023 to 2028: 232 Persons aged 35-39,  2023 to 2028: 364 Persons aged 30-34,  2023 to 2028: 333 Persons aged 25-29,  2023 to 2028: 169 Persons aged 20-24,  2023 to 2028: -221 Persons aged 15-19,  2023 to 2028: -392 Persons aged 10-14,  2023 to 2028: -74 Persons aged 5-9,  2023 to 2028: 10 Persons aged 0-4,  2023 to 2028: 457 0 2018 to 2023: -15 0 2018 to 2023: 95 0 2018 to 2023: -14 0 2018 to 2023: -43 0 2018 to 2023: -49 0 2018 to 2023: -116 0 2018 to 2023: -167 0 2018 to 2023: -83 0 2018 to 2023: -30 0 2018 to 2023: 250 0 2018 to 2023: 342 0 2018 to 2023: 348 0 2018 to 2023: 118 0 2018 to 2023: -277 0 2018 to 2023: -345 0 2018 to 2023: -100 0 2018 to 2023: 11 0 2018 to 2023: 444 Persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2018: 71 Persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2018: 64 Persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2018: -5 Persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2018: -23 Persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2018: -53 Persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2018: -40 Persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2018: -160 Persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2018: -69 Persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2018: -27 Persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2018: 195 Persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2018: 341 Persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2018: 335 Persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2018: 150 Persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2018: -332 Persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2018: -409 Persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2018: -50 Persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2018: 22 Persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2018: 422 Persons aged 85+,  2023 to 2028: -19 Persons aged 80-84,  2023 to 2028: 77 Persons aged 75-79,  2023 to 2028: -32 Persons aged 70-74,  2023 to 2028: -30 Persons aged 65-69,  2023 to 2028: -86 Persons aged 60-64,  2023 to 2028: -121 Persons aged 55-59,  2023 to 2028: -171 Persons aged 50-54,  2023 to 2028: -63 Persons aged 45-49,  2023 to 2028: 1 Persons aged 40-44,  2023 to 2028: 232 Persons aged 35-39,  2023 to 2028: 364 Persons aged 30-34,  2023 to 2028: 333 Persons aged 25-29,  2023 to 2028: 169 Persons aged 20-24,  2023 to 2028: -221 Persons aged 15-19,  2023 to 2028: -392 Persons aged 10-14,  2023 to 2028: -74 Persons aged 5-9,  2023 to 2028: 10 Persons aged 0-4,  2023 to 2028: 457 0 2018 to 2023: -15 0 2018 to 2023: 95 0 2018 to 2023: -14 0 2018 to 2023: -43 0 2018 to 2023: -49 0 2018 to 2023: -116 0 2018 to 2023: -167 0 2018 to 2023: -83 0 2018 to 2023: -30 0 2018 to 2023: 250 0 2018 to 2023: 342 0 2018 to 2023: 348 0 2018 to 2023: 118 0 2018 to 2023: -277 0 2018 to 2023: -345 0 2018 to 2023: -100 0 2018 to 2023: 11 0 2018 to 2023: 444 Persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2018: 71 Persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2018: 64 Persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2018: -5 Persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2018: -23 Persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2018: -53 Persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2018: -40 Persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2018: -160 Persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2018: -69 Persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2018: -27 Persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2018: 195 Persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2018: 341 Persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2018: 335 Persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2018: 150 Persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2018: -332 Persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2018: -409 Persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2018: -50 Persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2018: 22 Persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2018: 422
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2016.
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