Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Wellington City

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Wellington City is 15-19 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2023 to 2028.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Wellington City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Relatively stable migration profile expected throughout the forecast period
  • Substantial gain in yonger age groups (18-24 years) attracted to Wellington for education and employment opportunities
  • Some loss of adults in late twenties and thirties (some family forming with children) who may be leaving Wellington City in search of housing opportunities elsewhere
  • Some loss of mature adults, older adults and retirees aged 40-69 years
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2023 to 2028: -563 Persons aged 80-84,  2023 to 2028: -398 Persons aged 75-79,  2023 to 2028: -242 Persons aged 70-74,  2023 to 2028: -83 Persons aged 65-69,  2023 to 2028: -244 Persons aged 60-64,  2023 to 2028: -281 Persons aged 55-59,  2023 to 2028: -343 Persons aged 50-54,  2023 to 2028: -548 Persons aged 45-49,  2023 to 2028: -351 Persons aged 40-44,  2023 to 2028: -369 Persons aged 35-39,  2023 to 2028: -1,291 Persons aged 30-34,  2023 to 2028: -2,751 Persons aged 25-29,  2023 to 2028: -2,527 Persons aged 20-24,  2023 to 2028: 4,666 Persons aged 15-19,  2023 to 2028: 6,611 Persons aged 10-14,  2023 to 2028: -204 Persons aged 5-9,  2023 to 2028: -493 Persons aged 0-4,  2023 to 2028: -549 0 2018 to 2023: -457 0 2018 to 2023: -196 0 2018 to 2023: -64 0 2018 to 2023: -8 0 2018 to 2023: -95 0 2018 to 2023: -229 0 2018 to 2023: -428 0 2018 to 2023: -668 0 2018 to 2023: -412 0 2018 to 2023: -328 0 2018 to 2023: -879 0 2018 to 2023: -2,126 0 2018 to 2023: -1,933 0 2018 to 2023: 5,140 0 2018 to 2023: 6,583 0 2018 to 2023: -55 0 2018 to 2023: -345 0 2018 to 2023: -311 Persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2018: -270 Persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2018: -12 Persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2018: 143 Persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2018: 249 Persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2018: 108 Persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2018: 100 Persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2018: -114 Persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2018: -399 Persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2018: -111 Persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2018: -341 Persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2018: -726 Persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2018: -1,562 Persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2018: -1,279 Persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2018: 4,653 Persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2018: 5,841 Persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2018: 114 Persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2018: -143 Persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2018: -46 Persons aged 85+,  2023 to 2028: -563 Persons aged 80-84,  2023 to 2028: -398 Persons aged 75-79,  2023 to 2028: -242 Persons aged 70-74,  2023 to 2028: -83 Persons aged 65-69,  2023 to 2028: -244 Persons aged 60-64,  2023 to 2028: -281 Persons aged 55-59,  2023 to 2028: -343 Persons aged 50-54,  2023 to 2028: -548 Persons aged 45-49,  2023 to 2028: -351 Persons aged 40-44,  2023 to 2028: -369 Persons aged 35-39,  2023 to 2028: -1,291 Persons aged 30-34,  2023 to 2028: -2,751 Persons aged 25-29,  2023 to 2028: -2,527 Persons aged 20-24,  2023 to 2028: 4,666 Persons aged 15-19,  2023 to 2028: 6,611 Persons aged 10-14,  2023 to 2028: -204 Persons aged 5-9,  2023 to 2028: -493 Persons aged 0-4,  2023 to 2028: -549 0 2018 to 2023: -457 0 2018 to 2023: -196 0 2018 to 2023: -64 0 2018 to 2023: -8 0 2018 to 2023: -95 0 2018 to 2023: -229 0 2018 to 2023: -428 0 2018 to 2023: -668 0 2018 to 2023: -412 0 2018 to 2023: -328 0 2018 to 2023: -879 0 2018 to 2023: -2,126 0 2018 to 2023: -1,933 0 2018 to 2023: 5,140 0 2018 to 2023: 6,583 0 2018 to 2023: -55 0 2018 to 2023: -345 0 2018 to 2023: -311 Persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2018: -270 Persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2018: -12 Persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2018: 143 Persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2018: 249 Persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2018: 108 Persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2018: 100 Persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2018: -114 Persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2018: -399 Persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2018: -111 Persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2018: -341 Persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2018: -726 Persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2018: -1,562 Persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2018: -1,279 Persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2018: 4,653 Persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2018: 5,841 Persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2018: 114 Persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2018: -143 Persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2018: -46
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
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