Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Wellington City

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Wellington City indicate a 1.7% increase in population under working age, a 94.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 9.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Wellington City - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 12,0906.111,9795.212,9195.2+829
5 to 9 11,2625.711,4705.012,1034.8+840
10 to 14 10,7705.511,2484.911,5084.6+738
15 to 19 14,3427.316,9657.417,6007.0+3,258
20 to 24 20,46010.422,2199.725,35610.1+4,896
25 to 29 17,1598.720,3228.922,8609.1+5,701
30 to 34 16,1038.217,0987.518,7797.5+2,676
35 to 39 14,8327.515,2456.716,3406.5+1,508
40 to 44 15,0307.613,5885.914,5055.8-524
45 to 49 14,3387.313,7836.014,0325.6-306
50 to 54 13,1206.613,1935.813,0945.2-26
55 to 59 10,4125.313,1295.712,4295.0+2,017
60 to 64 8,7004.412,2545.312,0734.8+3,373
65 to 69 6,6903.410,9344.811,3214.5+4,631
70 to 74 4,5702.38,8513.910,7144.3+6,144
75 to 79 3,1001.67,0933.19,4753.8+6,375
80 to 84 2,3801.25,1202.27,7133.1+5,333
85 and over2,1451.14,7422.17,1762.9+5,032
Total persons197,500100.0229,235100.0249,997100.0+52,497

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 7,176 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 7,713 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 9,475 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 10,714 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 11,321 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 12,073 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 12,429 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 13,094 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 14,032 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 14,505 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 16,340 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 18,779 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 22,860 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 25,356 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 17,600 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 11,508 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 12,103 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 12,919 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 4,742 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 5,120 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 7,093 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 8,851 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 10,934 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 12,254 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 13,129 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 13,193 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 13,783 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 13,588 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 15,245 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 17,098 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 20,322 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 22,219 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 16,965 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 11,248 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 11,470 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 11,979 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 2,145 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 2,380 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 3,100 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 4,570 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 6,690 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 8,700 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 10,412 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 13,120 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 14,338 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 15,030 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 14,832 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 16,103 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 17,159 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 20,460 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 14,342 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 10,770 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 11,262 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 12,090
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 2,434 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 2,592 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 2,382 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 1,863 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 387 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -182 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -700 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: -99 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 249 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 917 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 1,095 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 1,681 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 2,538 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 3,137 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 635 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 260 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 633 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 940 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 2,597 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 2,740 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 3,993 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 4,281 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 4,244 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 3,555 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 2,717 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 74 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -554 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -1,442 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 413 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 995 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 3,164 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 1,759 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 2,623 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 478 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 207 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -110
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Wellington City was ages 20 to 24 , which accounted for 10.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74 , which is expected to increase by 4,281 and account for 3.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 22,219 persons.

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