Wellington CityPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Wellington City

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Wellington City will increase by an average of 716 dwellings per annum to 98,739 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Wellington City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2013 to 2043
Wellington CityChange in dwellings between 2013 and 2043
Areanumber%
Wellington City+21,467+27.8
Aro Valley - Highbury+175+11.8
Berhampore+371+23.5
Brooklyn+431+16.2
Churton Park - Glenside+1,323+56.1
Grenada Village - Paparangi - Woodridge - Horokiwi+1,545+76.0
Hataitai+167+6.4
Island Bay - Owhiro Bay+435+13.4
Johnsonville+1,019+25.6
Kaiwharawhara - Khandallah - Broadmeadows+364+9.1
Karori+593+10.5
Kelburn+230+15.7
Kilbirnie - Rongotai - Moa Point+680+31.4
Kingston - Mornington - Vogeltown+124+9.7
Lyall Bay+77+6.9
Miramar - Maupuia+630+14.6
Mt Cook+1,067+40.4
Mt Victoria+303+13.4
Newlands - Ngauranga+562+20.4
Newtown+1,465+43.8
Ngaio - Crofton Downs+409+14.5
Northland - Wilton+145+6.3
Ohariu - Makara - Makara Beach+60+17.4
Roseneath - Oriental Bay+147+9.2
Seatoun - Karaka Bays - Breaker Bay+199+13.6
Southgate - Houghton Bay - Melrose+199+12.7
Strathmore Park+140+9.9
Tawa - Grenada North - Takapu Valley+1,302+25.1
Te Aro+4,197+90.1
Thorndon - Pipitea+747+33.4
Wadestown+323+22.2
Wellington Central+2,038+153.8

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2043 Total dwellings: 98,739 2042 Total dwellings: 98,037 2041 Total dwellings: 97,332 2040 Total dwellings: 96,624 2039 Total dwellings: 95,911 2038 Total dwellings: 95,201 2037 Total dwellings: 94,491 2036 Total dwellings: 93,788 2035 Total dwellings: 93,106 2034 Total dwellings: 92,434 2033 Total dwellings: 91,794 2032 Total dwellings: 91,120 2031 Total dwellings: 90,427 2030 Total dwellings: 89,764 2029 Total dwellings: 89,092 2028 Total dwellings: 88,408 2027 Total dwellings: 87,753 2026 Total dwellings: 87,074 2025 Total dwellings: 86,314 2024 Total dwellings: 85,533 2023 Total dwellings: 84,706 2022 Total dwellings: 83,839 2021 Total dwellings: 82,957 2020 Total dwellings: 82,108 2019 Total dwellings: 81,297 2018 Total dwellings: 80,525 2017 Total dwellings: 79,737 2016 Total dwellings: 79,081 2015 Total dwellings: 78,487 2014 Total dwellings: 77,889 2043 Total dwellings: 98,739 2042 Total dwellings: 98,037 2041 Total dwellings: 97,332 2040 Total dwellings: 96,624 2039 Total dwellings: 95,911 2038 Total dwellings: 95,201 2037 Total dwellings: 94,491 2036 Total dwellings: 93,788 2035 Total dwellings: 93,106 2034 Total dwellings: 92,434 2033 Total dwellings: 91,794 2032 Total dwellings: 91,120 2031 Total dwellings: 90,427 2030 Total dwellings: 89,764 2029 Total dwellings: 89,092 2028 Total dwellings: 88,408 2027 Total dwellings: 87,753 2026 Total dwellings: 87,074 2025 Total dwellings: 86,314 2024 Total dwellings: 85,533 2023 Total dwellings: 84,706 2022 Total dwellings: 83,839 2021 Total dwellings: 82,957 2020 Total dwellings: 82,108 2019 Total dwellings: 81,297 2018 Total dwellings: 80,525 2017 Total dwellings: 79,737 2016 Total dwellings: 79,081 2015 Total dwellings: 78,487 2014 Total dwellings: 77,889 2043 Forecast development: 702 2042 Forecast development: 705 2041 Forecast development: 708 2040 Forecast development: 713 2039 Forecast development: 710 2038 Forecast development: 710 2037 Forecast development: 703 2036 Forecast development: 682 2035 Forecast development: 672 2034 Forecast development: 640 2033 Forecast development: 674 2032 Forecast development: 693 2031 Forecast development: 663 2030 Forecast development: 672 2029 Forecast development: 684 2028 Forecast development: 655 2027 Forecast development: 679 2026 Forecast development: 760 2025 Forecast development: 781 2024 Forecast development: 827 2023 Forecast development: 867 2022 Forecast development: 882 2021 Forecast development: 849 2020 Forecast development: 811 2019 Forecast development: 772 2018 Forecast development: 788 2017 Forecast development: 656 2016 Forecast development: 594 2015 Forecast development: 598 2014 Forecast development: 617
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
v17.10.06-1.0.0