Whanganui DistrictPopulation forecast
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Whanganui District

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Whanganui District is forecast for the period from 2034 to 2038, which is expected to have a net increase of 537 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Whanganui DistrictForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births2,5952,5292,4282,3812,3622,355
Deaths2,4812,5262,5932,6622,7302,776
Natural increase/decrease1144-165-280-368-421
Net migration-5371319478763916
Change in persons in non-private dwellings020130601420

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 104 2042 forecast population change: 104 2041 forecast population change: 97 2040 forecast population change: 99 2039 forecast population change: 91 2038 forecast population change: 89 2037 forecast population change: 89 2036 forecast population change: 120 2035 forecast population change: 173 2034 forecast population change: 66 2033 forecast population change: 88 2032 forecast population change: 62 2031 forecast population change: 32 2030 forecast population change: 59 2029 forecast population change: 18 2028 forecast population change: 16 2027 forecast population change: 65 2026 forecast population change: 9 2025 forecast population change: 156 2024 forecast population change: 39 2023 forecast population change: 50 2022 forecast population change: 22 2021 forecast population change: 3 2020 forecast population change: 17 2019 forecast population change: 2 2018 forecast population change: 18 2017 forecast population change: 8 2016 forecast population change: -3 2015 forecast population change: 17 2014 forecast population change: 20
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: -86 2042 Natural increase: -86 2041 Natural increase: -85 2040 Natural increase: -81 2039 Natural increase: -84 2038 Natural increase: -82 2037 Natural increase: -77 2036 Natural increase: -74 2035 Natural increase: -68 2034 Natural increase: -67 2033 Natural increase: -59 2032 Natural increase: -63 2031 Natural increase: -55 2030 Natural increase: -58 2029 Natural increase: -46 2028 Natural increase: -48 2027 Natural increase: -40 2026 Natural increase: -33 2025 Natural increase: -25 2024 Natural increase: -19 2023 Natural increase: -14 2022 Natural increase: -6 2021 Natural increase: 3 2020 Natural increase: 10 2019 Natural increase: 10 2018 Natural increase: 18 2017 Natural increase: 16 2016 Natural increase: 23 2015 Natural increase: 28 2014 Natural increase: 29 2043 Total deaths: 557 2042 Total deaths: 557 2041 Total deaths: 556 2040 Total deaths: 552 2039 Total deaths: 555 2038 Total deaths: 554 2037 Total deaths: 549 2036 Total deaths: 546 2035 Total deaths: 541 2034 Total deaths: 540 2033 Total deaths: 534 2032 Total deaths: 538 2031 Total deaths: 531 2030 Total deaths: 535 2029 Total deaths: 524 2028 Total deaths: 528 2027 Total deaths: 522 2026 Total deaths: 518 2025 Total deaths: 514 2024 Total deaths: 511 2023 Total deaths: 510 2022 Total deaths: 508 2021 Total deaths: 505 2020 Total deaths: 502 2019 Total deaths: 501 2018 Total deaths: 497 2017 Total deaths: 500 2016 Total deaths: 496 2015 Total deaths: 493 2014 Total deaths: 496 2043 Total births: 471 2042 Total births: 471 2041 Total births: 471 2040 Total births: 471 2039 Total births: 471 2038 Total births: 471 2037 Total births: 472 2036 Total births: 472 2035 Total births: 473 2034 Total births: 474 2033 Total births: 475 2032 Total births: 475 2031 Total births: 476 2030 Total births: 477 2029 Total births: 478 2028 Total births: 480 2027 Total births: 482 2026 Total births: 485 2025 Total births: 489 2024 Total births: 492 2023 Total births: 496 2022 Total births: 502 2021 Total births: 507 2020 Total births: 511 2019 Total births: 512 2018 Total births: 514 2017 Total births: 516 2016 Total births: 519 2015 Total births: 521 2014 Total births: 524 2043 Natural increase: -86 2042 Natural increase: -86 2041 Natural increase: -85 2040 Natural increase: -81 2039 Natural increase: -84 2038 Natural increase: -82 2037 Natural increase: -77 2036 Natural increase: -74 2035 Natural increase: -68 2034 Natural increase: -67 2033 Natural increase: -59 2032 Natural increase: -63 2031 Natural increase: -55 2030 Natural increase: -58 2029 Natural increase: -46 2028 Natural increase: -48 2027 Natural increase: -40 2026 Natural increase: -33 2025 Natural increase: -25 2024 Natural increase: -19 2023 Natural increase: -14 2022 Natural increase: -6 2021 Natural increase: 3 2020 Natural increase: 10 2019 Natural increase: 10 2018 Natural increase: 18 2017 Natural increase: 16 2016 Natural increase: 23 2015 Natural increase: 28 2014 Natural increase: 29 2043 Total deaths: 557 2042 Total deaths: 557 2041 Total deaths: 556 2040 Total deaths: 552 2039 Total deaths: 555 2038 Total deaths: 554 2037 Total deaths: 549 2036 Total deaths: 546 2035 Total deaths: 541 2034 Total deaths: 540 2033 Total deaths: 534 2032 Total deaths: 538 2031 Total deaths: 531 2030 Total deaths: 535 2029 Total deaths: 524 2028 Total deaths: 528 2027 Total deaths: 522 2026 Total deaths: 518 2025 Total deaths: 514 2024 Total deaths: 511 2023 Total deaths: 510 2022 Total deaths: 508 2021 Total deaths: 505 2020 Total deaths: 502 2019 Total deaths: 501 2018 Total deaths: 497 2017 Total deaths: 500 2016 Total deaths: 496 2015 Total deaths: 493 2014 Total deaths: 496 2043 Total births: 471 2042 Total births: 471 2041 Total births: 471 2040 Total births: 471 2039 Total births: 471 2038 Total births: 471 2037 Total births: 472 2036 Total births: 472 2035 Total births: 473 2034 Total births: 474 2033 Total births: 475 2032 Total births: 475 2031 Total births: 476 2030 Total births: 477 2029 Total births: 478 2028 Total births: 480 2027 Total births: 482 2026 Total births: 485 2025 Total births: 489 2024 Total births: 492 2023 Total births: 496 2022 Total births: 502 2021 Total births: 507 2020 Total births: 511 2019 Total births: 512 2018 Total births: 514 2017 Total births: 516 2016 Total births: 519 2015 Total births: 521 2014 Total births: 524
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 190 2042 Total net migration: 190 2041 Total net migration: 182 2040 Total net migration: 179 2039 Total net migration: 175 2038 Total net migration: 171 2037 Total net migration: 166 2036 Total net migration: 151 2035 Total net migration: 142 2034 Total net migration: 133 2033 Total net migration: 107 2032 Total net migration: 124 2031 Total net migration: 87 2030 Total net migration: 97 2029 Total net migration: 63 2028 Total net migration: 63 2027 Total net migration: 65 2026 Total net migration: 43 2025 Total net migration: 91 2024 Total net migration: 58 2023 Total net migration: 44 2022 Total net migration: 27 2021 Total net migration: 1 2020 Total net migration: 7 2019 Total net migration: -9 2018 Total net migration: 0 2017 Total net migration: -8 2016 Total net migration: -26 2015 Total net migration: -11 2014 Total net migration: -9 2043 Total out migration: 3,297 2042 Total out migration: 3,289 2041 Total out migration: 3,282 2040 Total out migration: 3,275 2039 Total out migration: 3,268 2038 Total out migration: 3,263 2037 Total out migration: 3,256 2036 Total out migration: 3,251 2035 Total out migration: 3,246 2034 Total out migration: 3,242 2033 Total out migration: 3,239 2032 Total out migration: 3,234 2031 Total out migration: 3,233 2030 Total out migration: 3,232 2029 Total out migration: 3,235 2028 Total out migration: 3,239 2027 Total out migration: 3,242 2026 Total out migration: 3,249 2025 Total out migration: 3,253 2024 Total out migration: 3,259 2023 Total out migration: 3,268 2022 Total out migration: 3,277 2021 Total out migration: 3,284 2020 Total out migration: 3,290 2019 Total out migration: 3,293 2018 Total out migration: 3,298 2017 Total out migration: 3,305 2016 Total out migration: 3,314 2015 Total out migration: 3,328 2014 Total out migration: 3,336 2043 Total in migration: 3,487 2042 Total in migration: 3,479 2041 Total in migration: 3,465 2040 Total in migration: 3,454 2039 Total in migration: 3,444 2038 Total in migration: 3,434 2037 Total in migration: 3,422 2036 Total in migration: 3,403 2035 Total in migration: 3,388 2034 Total in migration: 3,375 2033 Total in migration: 3,346 2032 Total in migration: 3,358 2031 Total in migration: 3,320 2030 Total in migration: 3,330 2029 Total in migration: 3,298 2028 Total in migration: 3,302 2027 Total in migration: 3,306 2026 Total in migration: 3,292 2025 Total in migration: 3,343 2024 Total in migration: 3,317 2023 Total in migration: 3,312 2022 Total in migration: 3,305 2021 Total in migration: 3,285 2020 Total in migration: 3,297 2019 Total in migration: 3,285 2018 Total in migration: 3,299 2017 Total in migration: 3,297 2016 Total in migration: 3,289 2015 Total in migration: 3,317 2014 Total in migration: 3,327 2043 Total net migration: 190 2042 Total net migration: 190 2041 Total net migration: 182 2040 Total net migration: 179 2039 Total net migration: 175 2038 Total net migration: 171 2037 Total net migration: 166 2036 Total net migration: 151 2035 Total net migration: 142 2034 Total net migration: 133 2033 Total net migration: 107 2032 Total net migration: 124 2031 Total net migration: 87 2030 Total net migration: 97 2029 Total net migration: 63 2028 Total net migration: 63 2027 Total net migration: 65 2026 Total net migration: 43 2025 Total net migration: 91 2024 Total net migration: 58 2023 Total net migration: 44 2022 Total net migration: 27 2021 Total net migration: 1 2020 Total net migration: 7 2019 Total net migration: -9 2018 Total net migration: 0 2017 Total net migration: -8 2016 Total net migration: -26 2015 Total net migration: -11 2014 Total net migration: -9 2043 Total out migration: 3,297 2042 Total out migration: 3,289 2041 Total out migration: 3,282 2040 Total out migration: 3,275 2039 Total out migration: 3,268 2038 Total out migration: 3,263 2037 Total out migration: 3,256 2036 Total out migration: 3,251 2035 Total out migration: 3,246 2034 Total out migration: 3,242 2033 Total out migration: 3,239 2032 Total out migration: 3,234 2031 Total out migration: 3,233 2030 Total out migration: 3,232 2029 Total out migration: 3,235 2028 Total out migration: 3,239 2027 Total out migration: 3,242 2026 Total out migration: 3,249 2025 Total out migration: 3,253 2024 Total out migration: 3,259 2023 Total out migration: 3,268 2022 Total out migration: 3,277 2021 Total out migration: 3,284 2020 Total out migration: 3,290 2019 Total out migration: 3,293 2018 Total out migration: 3,298 2017 Total out migration: 3,305 2016 Total out migration: 3,314 2015 Total out migration: 3,328 2014 Total out migration: 3,336 2043 Total in migration: 3,487 2042 Total in migration: 3,479 2041 Total in migration: 3,465 2040 Total in migration: 3,454 2039 Total in migration: 3,444 2038 Total in migration: 3,434 2037 Total in migration: 3,422 2036 Total in migration: 3,403 2035 Total in migration: 3,388 2034 Total in migration: 3,375 2033 Total in migration: 3,346 2032 Total in migration: 3,358 2031 Total in migration: 3,320 2030 Total in migration: 3,330 2029 Total in migration: 3,298 2028 Total in migration: 3,302 2027 Total in migration: 3,306 2026 Total in migration: 3,292 2025 Total in migration: 3,343 2024 Total in migration: 3,317 2023 Total in migration: 3,312 2022 Total in migration: 3,305 2021 Total in migration: 3,285 2020 Total in migration: 3,297 2019 Total in migration: 3,285 2018 Total in migration: 3,299 2017 Total in migration: 3,297 2016 Total in migration: 3,289 2015 Total in migration: 3,317 2014 Total in migration: 3,327
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
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