Whanganui DistrictPopulation forecast
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Whanganui District

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Whanganui District is forecast to grow from 19,326 in 2013 to 20,426 in 2028, with the average household size falling from 2.37 to 2.28 by 2028.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Whanganui District. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Whanganui DistrictForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population43,50043,56043,65543,93944,19744,73445,230
Change in population (5yrs)--6094284258537495
Average annual change--0.03%0.04%0.13%0.12%0.24%0.22%
Households17,88718,16118,42518,69418,95219,21019,461
Average household size2.372.342.312.282.262.252.25
Population in non private dwellings1,1341,1341,1541,2841,3441,4861,486
Dwellings19,32619,70020,05320,42620,80821,19321,577
Dwelling occupancy rate92.5592.1991.8891.5291.0890.6490.19

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2043 Average household size: 2.25 2042 Average household size: 2.25 2041 Average household size: 2.25 2040 Average household size: 2.25 2039 Average household size: 2.25 2038 Average household size: 2.25 2037 Average household size: 2.25 2036 Average household size: 2.25 2035 Average household size: 2.26 2034 Average household size: 2.26 2033 Average household size: 2.26 2032 Average household size: 2.26 2031 Average household size: 2.27 2030 Average household size: 2.27 2029 Average household size: 2.28 2028 Average household size: 2.28 2027 Average household size: 2.29 2026 Average household size: 2.29 2025 Average household size: 2.30 2024 Average household size: 2.30 2023 Average household size: 2.31 2022 Average household size: 2.31 2021 Average household size: 2.32 2020 Average household size: 2.32 2019 Average household size: 2.33 2018 Average household size: 2.34 2017 Average household size: 2.35 2016 Average household size: 2.36 2015 Average household size: 2.37 2014 Average household size: 2.38 2013 Average household size: 2.37 2043 Average household size: 2.25 2042 Average household size: 2.25 2041 Average household size: 2.25 2040 Average household size: 2.25 2039 Average household size: 2.25 2038 Average household size: 2.25 2037 Average household size: 2.25 2036 Average household size: 2.25 2035 Average household size: 2.26 2034 Average household size: 2.26 2033 Average household size: 2.26 2032 Average household size: 2.26 2031 Average household size: 2.27 2030 Average household size: 2.27 2029 Average household size: 2.28 2028 Average household size: 2.28 2027 Average household size: 2.29 2026 Average household size: 2.29 2025 Average household size: 2.30 2024 Average household size: 2.30 2023 Average household size: 2.31 2022 Average household size: 2.31 2021 Average household size: 2.32 2020 Average household size: 2.32 2019 Average household size: 2.33 2018 Average household size: 2.34 2017 Average household size: 2.35 2016 Average household size: 2.36 2015 Average household size: 2.37 2014 Average household size: 2.38 2043 Households: 19,463 2042 Households: 19,412 2041 Households: 19,361 2040 Households: 19,311 2039 Households: 19,260 2038 Households: 19,210 2037 Households: 19,159 2036 Households: 19,108 2035 Households: 19,056 2034 Households: 19,005 2033 Households: 18,953 2032 Households: 18,902 2031 Households: 18,850 2030 Households: 18,799 2029 Households: 18,748 2028 Households: 18,697 2027 Households: 18,647 2026 Households: 18,593 2025 Households: 18,539 2024 Households: 18,483 2023 Households: 18,426 2022 Households: 18,370 2021 Households: 18,316 2020 Households: 18,265 2019 Households: 18,211 2018 Households: 18,158 2017 Households: 18,078 2016 Households: 17,995 2015 Households: 17,898 2014 Households: 17,824 2013 Households: 17,888 2043 Total population: 45,230 2042 Total population: 45,125 2041 Total population: 45,021 2040 Total population: 44,924 2039 Total population: 44,826 2038 Total population: 44,734 2037 Total population: 44,646 2036 Total population: 44,557 2035 Total population: 44,437 2034 Total population: 44,264 2033 Total population: 44,197 2032 Total population: 44,110 2031 Total population: 44,048 2030 Total population: 44,016 2029 Total population: 43,957 2028 Total population: 43,939 2027 Total population: 43,924 2026 Total population: 43,859 2025 Total population: 43,849 2024 Total population: 43,694 2023 Total population: 43,655 2022 Total population: 43,604 2021 Total population: 43,583 2020 Total population: 43,579 2019 Total population: 43,562 2018 Total population: 43,560 2017 Total population: 43,542 2016 Total population: 43,534 2015 Total population: 43,537 2014 Total population: 43,520 2013 Total population: 43,500
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Whanganui District was estimated to be 43,500 people. It is expected to increase by over 430 people to 43,939 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 0.07%. This is based on an increase of over 800 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.37 to 2.28 by 2028.

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