Whanganui DistrictPopulation forecast
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Whanganui District

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Whanganui District will increase by an average of 75 dwellings per annum to 21,577 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Whanganui District. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2013 to 2043
Whanganui DistrictChange in dwellings between 2013 and 2043
Areanumber%
Whanganui District+2,251+11.6
Aramoho+139+8.2
Bastia Hill-Durie Hill-Putiki+120+10.6
Castlecliff North+148+15.3
Castlecliff South-Mosston-Balgownie-Airport+171+15.4
Fordell-Kakatahi-Marybank-Gordon Park+126+10.8
Gonville+94+4.6
Maxwell-Brunswick-Kai Iwi-Westmere-Blueskin+574+40.2
Springvale+126+8.4
St Johns Hill-Otamatea+179+11.5
Tawhero+204+15.2
Whanganui Central-Laird Park+125+6.7
Whanganui East-Kowhai Park-Wembley Park+159+5.9
Whanganui West-Spriggens Park-College Estate+86+10.5

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2043 Total dwellings: 21,577 2042 Total dwellings: 21,500 2041 Total dwellings: 21,423 2040 Total dwellings: 21,346 2039 Total dwellings: 21,269 2038 Total dwellings: 21,193 2037 Total dwellings: 21,116 2036 Total dwellings: 21,039 2035 Total dwellings: 20,962 2034 Total dwellings: 20,885 2033 Total dwellings: 20,808 2032 Total dwellings: 20,731 2031 Total dwellings: 20,654 2030 Total dwellings: 20,578 2029 Total dwellings: 20,502 2028 Total dwellings: 20,426 2027 Total dwellings: 20,351 2026 Total dwellings: 20,276 2025 Total dwellings: 20,202 2024 Total dwellings: 20,128 2023 Total dwellings: 20,053 2022 Total dwellings: 19,980 2021 Total dwellings: 19,908 2020 Total dwellings: 19,840 2019 Total dwellings: 19,769 2018 Total dwellings: 19,700 2017 Total dwellings: 19,628 2016 Total dwellings: 19,556 2015 Total dwellings: 19,481 2014 Total dwellings: 19,407 2043 Total dwellings: 21,577 2042 Total dwellings: 21,500 2041 Total dwellings: 21,423 2040 Total dwellings: 21,346 2039 Total dwellings: 21,269 2038 Total dwellings: 21,193 2037 Total dwellings: 21,116 2036 Total dwellings: 21,039 2035 Total dwellings: 20,962 2034 Total dwellings: 20,885 2033 Total dwellings: 20,808 2032 Total dwellings: 20,731 2031 Total dwellings: 20,654 2030 Total dwellings: 20,578 2029 Total dwellings: 20,502 2028 Total dwellings: 20,426 2027 Total dwellings: 20,351 2026 Total dwellings: 20,276 2025 Total dwellings: 20,202 2024 Total dwellings: 20,128 2023 Total dwellings: 20,053 2022 Total dwellings: 19,980 2021 Total dwellings: 19,908 2020 Total dwellings: 19,840 2019 Total dwellings: 19,769 2018 Total dwellings: 19,700 2017 Total dwellings: 19,628 2016 Total dwellings: 19,556 2015 Total dwellings: 19,481 2014 Total dwellings: 19,407 2043 Forecast development: 77 2042 Forecast development: 77 2041 Forecast development: 77 2040 Forecast development: 77 2039 Forecast development: 76 2038 Forecast development: 77 2037 Forecast development: 77 2036 Forecast development: 77 2035 Forecast development: 77 2034 Forecast development: 77 2033 Forecast development: 77 2032 Forecast development: 77 2031 Forecast development: 76 2030 Forecast development: 76 2029 Forecast development: 76 2028 Forecast development: 75 2027 Forecast development: 75 2026 Forecast development: 74 2025 Forecast development: 74 2024 Forecast development: 75 2023 Forecast development: 73 2022 Forecast development: 72 2021 Forecast development: 68 2020 Forecast development: 71 2019 Forecast development: 69 2018 Forecast development: 72 2017 Forecast development: 72 2016 Forecast development: 75 2015 Forecast development: 74 2014 Forecast development: 81
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
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