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Ashburton District CouncilPopulation forecast

Ashburton Central

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Ashburton Central is forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018, which is expected to have a net increase of 132 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Ashburton CentralForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births167178179180181186
Change in persons in non-private dwellings000000
Deaths235241242235239248
Natural increase/decrease-68-63-62-55-58-62
Net migration201186164132135148
Total population change133123101777786
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2019.

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