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Ashburton District CouncilPopulation forecast

Ashburton District Council

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Ashburton District Council is forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018, which is expected to have a net increase of 2,260 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Ashburton District CouncilForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births2,3052,3962,4202,4382,4972,600
Change in persons in non-private dwellings000000
Deaths1,2661,3691,4631,5541,6521,739
Natural increase/decrease1,0391,026957884844861
Net migration1,221728470355550668
Total population change2,2601,7551,4261,2391,3941,529
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2019.

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