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Ashburton District CouncilPopulation forecast

Rakaia

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Rakaia is forecast for the period from 2039 to 2043, which is expected to have a net increase of 13 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
RakaiaForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births878376757577
Change in persons in non-private dwellings000000
Deaths564649535354
Natural increase/decrease313627222223
Net migration-23-44-20-17-13-9
Total population change8-875914
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2019.

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