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Ashburton District CouncilPopulation forecast


Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Hampstead is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2013 to 2018.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Ashburton District Council depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • An erratic and volatile profile over the period, owing to limited development opportunity and very low levels of net change in all age groups. Many age groups fluctuate between small gains and losses over the period
  • Loss of families (0-17 and 30-44 years)
  • Loss of student aged groups years who may be leaving the area for education and employment purposes elsewhere
  • Small gain in adults (25-44 years), perhaps couples without children replacing family groups moving to access larger housing opportunities elsewhere in Ashburton. It is likely these couple households have accessed family type housing intending to start a family
  • Little change in age groups, 40+ years

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