svg rectangle color
Ashburton District CouncilPopulation forecast

Ashburton District Council

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Ashburton District Council indicate a 14.2% increase in population under working age, a 34.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 13.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Ashburton District Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Ashburton District Council - Total persons201320282048Change between 2013 and 2048
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)2,4207.52,5156.62,8336.5+413
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)3,0289.33,7059.84,1279.5+1,099
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)2,5687.92,9207.73,2177.4+648
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)2,4357.52,5286.72,8596.6+425
Young workforce (25 to 34)3,96112.24,14610.94,64710.7+687
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)6,49020.07,50119.88,33519.2+1,845
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)4,21013.04,69312.45,40412.4+1,194
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)3,49010.84,40111.65,02211.6+1,532
Seniors (70 to 84)3,0509.44,43511.75,63013.0+2,580
Elderly aged (85 and over)7902.41,0372.71,3753.2+585
Total persons32,440100.037,882100.043,449100.0+11,009
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Ashburton District Council was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 20.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages Seniors (70 to 84), which is expected to increase by 1,385 and account for 11.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 7,501 persons.

DISCLAIMER: While all due care has been taken to ensure that the content of this website is accurate and current, there may be errors or omissions in it and no legal responsibility is accepted for the information and opinions in this website.

Please view our Privacy Policy, Terms of use and Legal notices.

ABS Data and the copyright in the ABS Data remains the property of the Australian Bureau of Statistics. The copyright in the way .id has modified, transformed or reconfigured the ABS Data as published on this website remains the property of .id. ABS Data can be accessed from the Australian Bureau of Statistics at ABS data can be used under license - terms published on ABS website. if you have any queries or wish to distribute any ABS data.