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Ashburton District CouncilPopulation forecast

Hinds North

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Hinds North is forecast to grow from 1,214 in 2013 to 1,642 in 2048, with the average household size falling from 2.72 to 2.63 by 2048.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Hinds North. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Hinds NorthForecast year
Summary20132018202320282033203820432048
Population3,0503,3483,4893,6083,7143,8383,9754,087
Change in population (5yrs)--298141119106124137111
Average annual change--1.88%0.83%0.67%0.58%0.66%0.70%0.55%
Households1,1201,2361,3051,3601,4111,4571,5061,551
Average household size2.722.712.672.652.632.632.642.63
Population in non private dwellings11111111
Dwellings1,2141,3361,4051,4591,5071,5521,5971,642
Dwelling occupancy rate92.2692.5192.8893.2193.6393.8894.3094.46
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Hinds North was estimated to be 3,050 people. It is expected to increase by over 558 people to 3,608 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 1.13%. This is based on an increase of over 240 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.72 to 2.65 by 2028.

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