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Ashburton District CouncilPopulation forecast

Mt Somers

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Mt Somers is forecast to grow from 1,314 in 2013 to 1,768 in 2048, with the average household size remaining stable from 2.77 to 2.77 by 2048.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Mt Somers. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Mt SomersForecast year
Summary20132018202320282033203820432048
Population2,7512,9593,1593,3323,4703,6233,7913,911
Change in population (5yrs)--208201173137153168121
Average annual change--1.47%1.32%1.07%0.81%0.87%0.91%0.63%
Households9841,0651,1351,1931,2501,3051,3621,404
Average household size2.772.752.762.772.762.762.762.77
Population in non private dwellings2525252525252525
Dwellings1,3141,4071,4871,5481,6031,6581,7131,768
Dwelling occupancy rate74.8975.6976.3377.0777.9878.7179.5179.41
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Mt Somers was estimated to be 2,751 people. It is expected to increase by over 581 people to 3,332 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 1.29%. This is based on an increase of over 209 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household remaining stable from 2.77 to 2.77 by 2028.

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