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Ashburton District CouncilPopulation forecast

Rakaia

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Rakaia is forecast to grow from 516 in 2013 to 569 in 2048, with the average household size falling from 2.28 to 2.22 by 2048.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Rakaia. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
RakaiaForecast year
Summary20132018202320282033203820432048
Population1,1741,1821,1741,1811,1871,1961,2101,221
Change in population (5yrs)--8-87591411
Average annual change--0.13%-0.13%0.12%0.09%0.16%0.23%0.19%
Households515522522531535539545549
Average household size2.282.262.252.222.222.222.222.22
Population in non private dwellings00000000
Dwellings516532541549554559564569
Dwelling occupancy rate99.8198.1296.4996.7296.5796.4296.6396.49
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Rakaia was estimated to be 1,174 people. It is expected to increase by over 7 people to 1,181 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 0.04%. This is based on an increase of over 16 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.28 to 2.22 by 2028.

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