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Ashburton District CouncilPopulation forecast

Ashburton District Council

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Ashburton District Council is forecast to grow from 13,690 in 2013 to 18,632 in 2048, with the average household size falling from 2.51 to 2.45 by 2048.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Ashburton District Council. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Ashburton District CouncilForecast year
Change in population (5yrs)--2,2601,7551,4261,2391,3941,5291,405
Average annual change--1.36%0.99%0.77%0.65%0.70%0.74%0.66%
Average household size2.512.502.492.482.462.452.452.45
Population in non private dwellings328328328328328328328328
Dwelling occupancy rate93.3393.5293.6493.8594.0794.2194.4694.45
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Ashburton District Council was estimated to be 32,440 people. It is expected to increase by over 5,442 people to 37,882 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 1.04%. This is based on an increase of over 2,381 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.51 to 2.48 by 2028.

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