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Ashburton District CouncilPopulation forecast

Hinds South

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Hinds South is forecast to grow from 766 in 2013 to 1,246 in 2048, with the average household size falling from 2.66 to 2.52 by 2048.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Hinds South. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Hinds SouthForecast year
Summary20132018202320282033203820432048
Population1,8221,9922,1452,2992,4572,6342,8322,992
Change in population (5yrs)--170153154158178197160
Average annual change--1.80%1.49%1.39%1.34%1.41%1.45%1.11%
Households6827558238939661,0411,1191,185
Average household size2.662.632.602.572.542.532.532.52
Population in non private dwellings55555555
Dwellings7668379039691,0361,1061,1761,246
Dwelling occupancy rate89.0390.2091.1492.1693.2494.1295.1595.10
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Hinds South was estimated to be 1,822 people. It is expected to increase by over 477 people to 2,299 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 1.56%. This is based on an increase of over 211 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.66 to 2.57 by 2028.

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