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Ashburton District CouncilPopulation forecast

Methven

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Methven is forecast to grow from 790 in 2013 to 1,099 in 2048, with the average household size falling from 2.50 to 2.40 by 2048.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Methven. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
MethvenForecast year
Summary20132018202320282033203820432048
Population1,7531,8531,9772,0512,1342,2282,3322,411
Change in population (5yrs)--10012473839410479
Average annual change--1.11%1.31%0.73%0.80%0.87%0.92%0.66%
Households683730786827868908949985
Average household size2.502.482.462.432.412.402.412.40
Population in non private dwellings4545454545454545
Dwellings7908388989399791,0191,0591,099
Dwelling occupancy rate86.4687.1187.5388.0788.6689.1189.6189.63
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Methven was estimated to be 1,753 people. It is expected to increase by over 298 people to 2,051 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 1.05%. This is based on an increase of over 144 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.50 to 2.43 by 2028.

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