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Ashburton District CouncilPopulation forecast

Allenton East

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Allenton East is forecast to grow from 1,740 in 2013 to 2,147 in 2048, with the average household size falling from 2.45 to 2.38 by 2048.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Allenton East. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Allenton EastForecast year
Summary20132018202320282033203820432048
Population4,2734,4104,6814,8264,9054,9915,0875,207
Change in population (5yrs)--136271146788796120
Average annual change--0.63%1.20%0.61%0.32%0.35%0.38%0.47%
Households1,7211,8011,9031,9582,0072,0582,1092,158
Average household size2.452.412.432.432.412.402.382.38
Population in non private dwellings6262626262626262
Dwellings1,7401,8071,8931,9471,9972,0472,0972,147
Dwelling occupancy rate98.9199.67100.53100.56100.50100.54100.57100.51
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Allenton East was estimated to be 4,273 people. It is expected to increase by over 553 people to 4,826 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 0.81%. This is based on an increase of over 237 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.45 to 2.43 by 2028.