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Ashburton District CouncilPopulation forecast

Chertsey

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Chertsey will increase by an average of 9 dwellings per annum to 1,458 in 2048.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Chertsey. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Future residential rates are based on an analysis of historic development patterns and identified projects that are either planned or currently developing.

  • Chertsey is a large rural area with limited development opportunity, which will be mainly centered around small rural townships
  • The dwelling stock in Chertsey is forecast to grow by an average of 9 dwellings per annum over the forecast period. The level of development may appear comparatively large compared to other areas within the Ditrict, but this is mainly a result of the size of the area

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