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Ashburton District CouncilPopulation forecast

Rakaia

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Rakaia will increase by an average of 2 dwellings per annum to 569 in 2048.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Rakaia. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Future residential rates are based on an analysis of historic development patterns and identified projects that are either planned or currently developing.

  • Rakaia is an area encompassing the urban area of Rakaia township. It is one of the larger townships within the District, but only presents limited opportunity for future dwelling growth. This is limited primarly through its role and function as a rural service centre, with limited future em,ployment opportunities to support growth
  • The dwelling stock in Rakaia is forecast to grow by an average of 2 dwellings per annum over the forecast period, similar to the rates of growth experienced over its recent past

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