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Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast

Kerikeri Township Surrounds

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Kerikeri Township Surrounds is forecast for the period from 2019 to 2023, which is expected to have a net increase of 957 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Kerikeri Township SurroundsForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births169216255279290298
Change in persons in non-private dwellings040015020
Deaths177238293338374404
Natural increase/decrease-8-22-38-59-85-106
Net migration577939570492372485
Total population change569957532449287399
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2020.

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