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Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast

Kaikohe Township

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2019, the age structure forecasts for Kaikohe Township indicate a 7.9% decrease in population under working age, a 34.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.3% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Kaikohe Township is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Kaikohe Township - Total persons201320192043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 454212.53928.94988.4-43
5 to 946310.751511.75298.9+67
10 to 144199.64059.24627.8+44
15 to 193407.83487.93636.1+23
20 to 242706.22636.03085.2+37
25 to 292826.52295.23055.1+23
30 to 342295.32525.73345.6+105
35 to 392104.82345.33495.9+139
40 to 442104.82185.03485.8+138
45 to 492405.52044.73285.5+88
50 to 542315.32225.03005.0+69
55 to 592114.92124.82904.9+78
60 to 641934.42265.22674.5+75
65 to 691713.91954.42564.3+85
70 to 741503.51643.72574.3+107
75 to 79801.81493.42634.4+183
80 to 84501.1851.92384.0+188
85 and over501.1801.82544.3+204
Total persons4,341100.04,393100.05,949100.0+1,607
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Kaikohe Township was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 12.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2019 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 69 and account for 3.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2019 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 515 persons.

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