Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Far North District

Population and age structure

Between 2017 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Far North District indicate a 12.9% decrease in population under working age, a 31.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.1% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Far North District is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Far North District - Total persons201720282043Change between 2017 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 3,7816.23,6666.03,5455.7-237
5 to 9 4,8558.03,8366.23,6765.9-1,179
10 to 14 4,4197.33,8686.33,6765.9-742
15 to 19 4,0536.73,8796.33,1675.1-887
20 to 24 3,0024.92,8444.62,5394.1-464
25 to 29 2,5664.22,6364.32,5224.1-44
30 to 34 2,5524.22,6804.42,7904.5+238
35 to 39 2,7984.62,9244.73,1045.0+306
40 to 44 3,4045.63,2985.43,5345.7+131
45 to 49 3,9776.53,5095.73,7796.1-198
50 to 54 4,3117.13,7966.23,9366.3-375
55 to 59 4,6297.64,1826.84,0856.6-544
60 to 64 4,4737.34,5387.44,3206.9-153
65 to 69 4,1436.84,6117.54,3777.0+233
70 to 74 3,2965.44,0456.64,1876.7+891
75 to 79 2,3283.83,2895.33,7116.0+1,383
80 to 84 1,3092.12,3083.72,9564.8+1,648
85 and over1,0391.71,6662.72,3253.7+1,286
Total persons60,935100.061,576100.062,229100.0+1,295

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 2,325 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 2,956 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 3,711 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 4,187 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 4,377 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 4,320 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 4,085 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 3,936 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 3,779 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 3,534 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 3,104 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 2,790 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 2,522 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 2,539 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 3,167 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 3,676 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 3,676 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 3,545 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 1,666 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 2,308 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 3,289 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 4,045 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 4,611 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 4,538 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 4,182 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 3,796 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 3,509 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 3,298 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 2,924 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 2,680 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 2,636 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 2,844 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 3,879 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 3,868 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 3,836 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 3,666 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2017: 1,039 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2017: 1,309 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2017: 2,328 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2017: 3,296 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2017: 4,143 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2017: 4,473 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2017: 4,629 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2017: 4,311 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2017: 3,977 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2017: 3,404 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2017: 2,798 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2017: 2,552 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2017: 2,566 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2017: 3,002 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2017: 4,053 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2017: 4,419 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2017: 4,855 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2017: 3,781
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 659 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 649 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 422 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 142 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -234 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -219 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -97 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 140 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 270 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 236 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 180 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 110 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: -114 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: -305 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -713 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -191 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: -160 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: -121 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2017 to 2028: 627 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2017 to 2028: 999 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2017 to 2028: 961 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2017 to 2028: 749 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2017 to 2028: 468 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2017 to 2028: 66 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2017 to 2028: -447 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2017 to 2028: -516 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2017 to 2028: -468 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2017 to 2028: -106 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2017 to 2028: 127 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2017 to 2028: 128 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2017 to 2028: 70 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2017 to 2028: -158 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2017 to 2028: -174 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2017 to 2028: -551 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2017 to 2028: -1,019 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2017 to 2028: -116
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.

Key findings

In 2017, the dominant age structure for persons in Far North District was ages 5 to 9 , which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2017 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 80 to 84 , which is expected to increase by 999 and account for 3.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 4,611 persons.

v18.09.10-1.0.0