Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Kaikohe Township

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Kaikohe Township indicate a 22.9% decrease in population under working age, a 48.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.2% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Far North District is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Kaikohe Township - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 454212.53809.33489.1-193
5 to 946310.73709.13469.0-116
10 to 144199.63488.53118.1-107
15 to 193407.83468.52516.5-89
20 to 242706.22646.52195.7-51
25 to 292826.52355.82275.9-55
30 to 342295.32195.42255.8-5
35 to 392104.82075.12065.4-4
40 to 442104.82035.01965.1-13
45 to 492405.51904.61894.9-51
50 to 542315.31844.51834.8-48
55 to 592114.91904.61844.8-28
60 to 641934.42045.01774.6-15
65 to 691713.91984.81764.6+5
70 to 741503.51794.41724.5+22
75 to 79801.81453.61614.2+81
80 to 84501.11072.61313.4+82
85 and over501.11172.91453.8+95
Total persons4,341100.04,085100.03,849100.0-492

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 145 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 131 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 161 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 172 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 176 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 177 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 184 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 183 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 189 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 196 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 206 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 225 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 227 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 219 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 251 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 311 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 346 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 348 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 117 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 107 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 145 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 179 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 198 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 204 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 190 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 184 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 190 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 203 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 207 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 219 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 235 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 264 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 346 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 348 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 370 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 380 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 50 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 50 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 80 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 150 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 171 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 193 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 211 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 231 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 240 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 210 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 210 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 229 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 282 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 270 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 340 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 419 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 463 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 542
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 29 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 25 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 15 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: -6 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -22 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -27 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -6 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 0 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: -6 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 5 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: -8 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: -44 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -95 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -37 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: -24 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: -32 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 67 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 57 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 65 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 28 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 27 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 11 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: -22 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -47 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -51 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -7 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -3 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: -10 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: -47 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -7 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 6 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -70 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -92 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -161
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Kaikohe Township was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 12.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 85 and over, which is expected to increase by 67 and account for 2.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 380 persons.

v19.09.29-1.0.0