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Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast

Kaikohe Township

Population and age structure

Between 2024 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Kaikohe Township indicate a 0.9% decrease in population under working age, a 16.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Kaikohe Township is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Kaikohe Township - Total persons202420282043Change between 2024 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43818.54118.64988.4+118
5 to 94009.04228.95298.9+129
10 to 144439.93808.04627.8+19
15 to 193377.63798.03636.1+26
20 to 242846.42896.13085.2+24
25 to 292275.12555.43055.1+78
30 to 342255.02485.23345.6+109
35 to 392505.62565.43495.9+99
40 to 442315.22645.63485.8+116
45 to 492184.92365.03285.5+109
50 to 542024.52134.53005.0+97
55 to 592204.92134.52904.9+69
60 to 642124.82314.92674.5+55
65 to 692265.12284.82564.3+30
70 to 741984.42154.52574.3+59
75 to 791633.71934.12634.4+100
80 to 841343.01613.42384.0+104
85 and over1062.41673.52544.3+148
Total persons4,457100.04,762100.05,949100.0+1,492
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2019.

Key findings

In 2024, the dominant age structure for persons in Kaikohe Township was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 9.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2024 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 85 and over, which is expected to increase by 61 and account for 3.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 422 persons.

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