Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast
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Kaitaia Township

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Kaitaia Township indicate a 2.7% decrease in population under working age, a 32.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.2% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Far North District is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Kaitaia Township - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44668.84628.54188.0-48
5 to 94829.14578.44147.9-68
10 to 144288.14207.73867.4-42
15 to 194378.34177.73596.9-78
20 to 243306.23185.92885.5-42
25 to 292725.12534.72464.7-26
30 to 342394.52504.62384.5-2
35 to 392504.72504.62414.6-9
40 to 443055.82634.82564.9-49
45 to 493105.92705.02675.1-44
50 to 543115.92765.12705.2-41
55 to 593075.82915.42695.2-38
60 to 642464.62925.42695.2+24
65 to 692374.52825.22665.1+30
70 to 741953.72745.12735.2+78
75 to 791953.72344.32725.2+77
80 to 841442.72023.72424.6+98
85 and over1372.62103.92484.8+112
Total persons5,291100.05,419100.05,222100.0-69

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 248 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 242 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 272 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 273 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 266 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 269 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 269 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 270 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 267 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 256 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 241 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 238 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 246 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 288 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 359 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 386 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 414 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 418 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 210 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 202 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 234 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 274 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 282 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 292 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 291 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 276 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 270 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 263 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 250 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 250 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 253 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 318 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 417 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 420 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 457 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 462 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 137 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 144 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 195 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 195 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 237 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 246 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 307 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 311 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 310 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 305 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 250 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 239 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 272 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 330 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 437 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 428 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 482 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 466
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 39 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 40 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 38 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -16 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -23 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -22 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: -6 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: -3 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: -7 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: -9 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: -12 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: -7 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: -30 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -58 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -33 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: -43 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: -44 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 73 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 58 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 39 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 79 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 45 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 46 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: -16 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -35 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -41 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -42 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 0 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 10 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: -19 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -12 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -20 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -9 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -25 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -4
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Kaitaia Township was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 9.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 79 and account for 5.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 462 persons.

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