Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Kohukohu and Hokianga North area

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Kohukohu and Hokianga North area indicate a 37.0% decrease in population under working age, a 44.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 12.7% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Far North District is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Kohukohu and Hokianga North area - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41517.4834.4703.8-81
5 to 91316.4955.1804.4-51
10 to 141758.61105.9925.1-82
15 to 191517.41085.8774.2-74
20 to 24954.7613.3502.8-45
25 to 29562.7603.2482.6-8
30 to 34653.2653.5603.3-5
35 to 39904.4864.6854.7-5
40 to 441256.11136.01196.6-6
45 to 491517.41296.91377.5-14
50 to 541617.91407.51468.0-15
55 to 591567.71497.91498.2-7
60 to 641768.61598.51558.5-21
65 to 691266.21548.21498.2+22
70 to 74954.71296.91337.3+38
75 to 79703.41176.31176.4+47
80 to 84452.2703.7904.9+45
85 and over201.0452.4613.4+41
Total persons2,040100.01,872100.01,819100.0-221

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 61 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 90 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 117 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 133 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 149 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 155 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 149 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 146 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 137 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 119 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 85 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 60 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 48 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 50 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 77 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 92 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 80 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 70 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 45 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 70 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 117 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 129 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 154 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 159 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 149 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 140 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 129 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 113 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 86 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 65 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 60 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 61 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 108 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 110 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 95 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 83 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 20 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 45 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 70 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 95 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 126 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 176 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 156 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 161 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 151 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 125 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 90 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 65 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 56 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 95 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 151 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 175 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 131 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 151
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 16 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 20 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 0 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 4 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -5 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -4 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 1 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 6 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 8 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 6 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: -5 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: -12 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: -11 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -31 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -17 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: -15 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: -13 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 25 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 25 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 47 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 34 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 28 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: -17 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: -8 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -21 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -21 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -12 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -5 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 0 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 4 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -34 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -43 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -65 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -36 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -68
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Kohukohu and Hokianga North area was ages 60 to 64, which accounted for 8.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 47 and account for 6.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 159 persons.

v19.10.16-1.0.0