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Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast

Far North District Council

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Far North District Council indicate a 7.0% decrease in females under working age, a 84.7% increase in females of retirement age, and a 5.0% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Far North District Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Far North District Council - Total females201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)2,1957.12,0765.82,2605.6+64
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)3,08110.02,8788.13,1507.8+69
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)2,7579.02,5757.22,5466.3-211
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)2,1326.92,4746.92,3975.9+265
Young workforce (25 to 34)2,6918.73,0958.73,5248.7+833
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)5,77918.85,68716.06,86217.0+1,083
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)4,72015.34,63113.05,09212.6+371
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)4,10113.35,31514.95,52313.7+1,423
Seniors (70 to 84)2,7849.05,77316.27,29918.0+4,515
Elderly aged (85 and over)5301.71,1433.21,8064.5+1,276
Total persons30,771100.035,647100.040,459100.0+9,688
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for females in Far North District Council was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 18.8% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages Seniors (70 to 84), which is expected to increase by 2,989 and account for 16.2% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2028 is Seniors (70 to 84) years, with a total of 5,773 females.

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