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Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast

North Cape - Houhora - Awanui

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in North Cape - Houhora - Awanui is forecast to grow from 1,690 in 2013 to 1,897 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 2.69 to 2.28 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in North Cape - Houhora - Awanui. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
North Cape - Houhora - AwanuiForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population3,7893,6803,5923,5563,5673,5723,579
Change in population (5yrs)---109-88-361157
Average annual change---0.58%-0.48%-0.20%0.06%0.03%0.04%
Households1,4051,4321,4541,4771,5211,5421,550
Average household size2.692.562.462.382.322.292.28
Population in non private dwellings13131343434343
Dwellings1,6901,7231,7501,7801,8171,8571,897
Dwelling occupancy rate83.1483.1183.0982.9883.7183.0481.71
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of North Cape - Houhora - Awanui was estimated to be 3,789 people. It is expected to decrease by over 233 people to 3,556 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of -0.42%. This is based on an increase of over 72 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.69 to 2.38 by 2028.

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