Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Bay of Island Rural

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Far North District. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Bay of Island RuralForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population5,1715,1765,0845,0385,1125,1625,167
Change in population (5yrs)--5-92-4674505
Average annual change--0.02%-0.36%-0.18%0.29%0.20%0.02%
Households1,9542,0172,0482,0872,1502,1902,203
Average household size2.622.542.462.392.352.332.32
Population in non private dwellings49494949494949
Dwellings2,0882,1332,1782,2232,2682,3182,368
Dwelling occupancy rate93.5894.5694.0393.8894.8094.4893.03

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2043 Average household size: 2.32 2042 Average household size: 2.32 2041 Average household size: 2.33 2040 Average household size: 2.33 2039 Average household size: 2.33 2038 Average household size: 2.33 2037 Average household size: 2.34 2036 Average household size: 2.34 2035 Average household size: 2.34 2034 Average household size: 2.35 2033 Average household size: 2.35 2032 Average household size: 2.36 2031 Average household size: 2.37 2030 Average household size: 2.38 2029 Average household size: 2.38 2028 Average household size: 2.39 2027 Average household size: 2.40 2026 Average household size: 2.41 2025 Average household size: 2.42 2024 Average household size: 2.44 2023 Average household size: 2.46 2022 Average household size: 2.47 2021 Average household size: 2.49 2020 Average household size: 2.51 2019 Average household size: 2.52 2018 Average household size: 2.54 2017 Average household size: 2.56 2016 Average household size: 2.58 2015 Average household size: 2.60 2014 Average household size: 2.62 2013 Average household size: 2.62 2043 Average household size: 2.32 2042 Average household size: 2.32 2041 Average household size: 2.33 2040 Average household size: 2.33 2039 Average household size: 2.33 2038 Average household size: 2.33 2037 Average household size: 2.34 2036 Average household size: 2.34 2035 Average household size: 2.34 2034 Average household size: 2.35 2033 Average household size: 2.35 2032 Average household size: 2.36 2031 Average household size: 2.37 2030 Average household size: 2.38 2029 Average household size: 2.38 2028 Average household size: 2.39 2027 Average household size: 2.40 2026 Average household size: 2.41 2025 Average household size: 2.42 2024 Average household size: 2.44 2023 Average household size: 2.46 2022 Average household size: 2.47 2021 Average household size: 2.49 2020 Average household size: 2.51 2019 Average household size: 2.52 2018 Average household size: 2.54 2017 Average household size: 2.56 2016 Average household size: 2.58 2015 Average household size: 2.60 2014 Average household size: 2.62 2043 Households: 2,204 2042 Households: 2,202 2041 Households: 2,199 2040 Households: 2,196 2039 Households: 2,193 2038 Households: 2,190 2037 Households: 2,182 2036 Households: 2,174 2035 Households: 2,166 2034 Households: 2,158 2033 Households: 2,150 2032 Households: 2,131 2031 Households: 2,111 2030 Households: 2,103 2029 Households: 2,096 2028 Households: 2,088 2027 Households: 2,080 2026 Households: 2,073 2025 Households: 2,065 2024 Households: 2,057 2023 Households: 2,049 2022 Households: 2,042 2021 Households: 2,034 2020 Households: 2,028 2019 Households: 2,023 2018 Households: 2,017 2017 Households: 2,010 2016 Households: 1,989 2015 Households: 1,968 2014 Households: 1,960 2013 Households: 1,953 2043 Total population: 5,167 2042 Total population: 5,165 2041 Total population: 5,163 2040 Total population: 5,162 2039 Total population: 5,161 2038 Total population: 5,162 2037 Total population: 5,150 2036 Total population: 5,137 2035 Total population: 5,126 2034 Total population: 5,119 2033 Total population: 5,112 2032 Total population: 5,077 2031 Total population: 5,046 2030 Total population: 5,047 2029 Total population: 5,044 2028 Total population: 5,038 2027 Total population: 5,042 2026 Total population: 5,044 2025 Total population: 5,049 2024 Total population: 5,067 2023 Total population: 5,084 2022 Total population: 5,100 2021 Total population: 5,113 2020 Total population: 5,134 2019 Total population: 5,152 2018 Total population: 5,176 2017 Total population: 5,195 2016 Total population: 5,172 2015 Total population: 5,162 2014 Total population: 5,182 2013 Total population: 5,171
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
v19.10.16-1.0.0