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Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast

Kaeo - Matauri Bay - Whangaroa

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Kaeo - Matauri Bay - Whangaroa is forecast to grow from 1,746 in 2013 to 2,411 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 2.57 to 2.20 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Kaeo - Matauri Bay - Whangaroa. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Kaeo - Matauri Bay - WhangaroaForecast year
Change in population (5yrs)--487119141128162208
Average annual change--2.81%0.62%0.71%0.63%0.77%0.94%
Average household size2.572.522.412.322.252.212.20
Population in non private dwellings13131313131313
Dwelling occupancy rate72.7482.7085.1085.1185.0985.1385.11
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Kaeo - Matauri Bay - Whangaroa was estimated to be 3,282 people. It is expected to increase by over 746 people to 4,028 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 1.37%. This is based on an increase of over 462 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.57 to 2.32 by 2028.

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