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Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast

Kaikohe Township

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Kaikohe Township is forecast to grow from 1,462 in 2013 to 2,316 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 3.17 to 2.64 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Kaikohe Township. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Kaikohe TownshipForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population4,3414,3234,3974,7625,1025,5155,949
Change in population (5yrs)---1874365340413433
Average annual change---0.08%0.34%1.61%1.39%1.57%1.52%
Households1,3531,4181,5141,6941,8732,0482,223
Average household size3.173.012.872.762.682.652.64
Population in non private dwellings52525282828282
Dwellings1,4621,4691,5351,7211,9122,1122,316
Dwelling occupancy rate92.5496.5398.6398.4397.9696.9795.98
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Kaikohe Township was estimated to be 4,341 people. It is expected to increase by over 421 people to 4,762 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 0.62%. This is based on an increase of over 341 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 3.17 to 2.76 by 2028.

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