Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast
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Kaitaia Township

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Far North District. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Kaitaia TownshipForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population5,2915,3915,4345,4195,3685,2905,222
Change in population (5yrs)--10043-15-52-78-68
Average annual change--0.37%0.16%-0.06%-0.19%-0.29%-0.26%
Households1,8781,9271,9431,9541,9671,9651,954
Average household size2.762.742.722.702.652.612.59
Population in non private dwellings112112152152152152152
Dwellings2,0462,0562,0722,0922,1132,1382,163
Dwelling occupancy rate91.7993.7393.7793.4093.0991.9190.34

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2043 Average household size: 2.59 2042 Average household size: 2.60 2041 Average household size: 2.60 2040 Average household size: 2.60 2039 Average household size: 2.61 2038 Average household size: 2.62 2037 Average household size: 2.62 2036 Average household size: 2.63 2035 Average household size: 2.63 2034 Average household size: 2.64 2033 Average household size: 2.65 2032 Average household size: 2.66 2031 Average household size: 2.67 2030 Average household size: 2.68 2029 Average household size: 2.68 2028 Average household size: 2.69 2027 Average household size: 2.70 2026 Average household size: 2.71 2025 Average household size: 2.71 2024 Average household size: 2.72 2023 Average household size: 2.72 2022 Average household size: 2.72 2021 Average household size: 2.72 2020 Average household size: 2.72 2019 Average household size: 2.73 2018 Average household size: 2.74 2017 Average household size: 2.76 2016 Average household size: 2.77 2015 Average household size: 2.79 2014 Average household size: 2.79 2013 Average household size: 2.76 2043 Average household size: 2.59 2042 Average household size: 2.60 2041 Average household size: 2.60 2040 Average household size: 2.60 2039 Average household size: 2.61 2038 Average household size: 2.62 2037 Average household size: 2.62 2036 Average household size: 2.63 2035 Average household size: 2.63 2034 Average household size: 2.64 2033 Average household size: 2.65 2032 Average household size: 2.66 2031 Average household size: 2.67 2030 Average household size: 2.68 2029 Average household size: 2.68 2028 Average household size: 2.69 2027 Average household size: 2.70 2026 Average household size: 2.71 2025 Average household size: 2.71 2024 Average household size: 2.72 2023 Average household size: 2.72 2022 Average household size: 2.72 2021 Average household size: 2.72 2020 Average household size: 2.72 2019 Average household size: 2.73 2018 Average household size: 2.74 2017 Average household size: 2.76 2016 Average household size: 2.77 2015 Average household size: 2.79 2014 Average household size: 2.79 2043 Households: 1,955 2042 Households: 1,957 2041 Households: 1,959 2040 Households: 1,961 2039 Households: 1,963 2038 Households: 1,965 2037 Households: 1,966 2036 Households: 1,968 2035 Households: 1,970 2034 Households: 1,972 2033 Households: 1,968 2032 Households: 1,965 2031 Households: 1,962 2030 Households: 1,960 2029 Households: 1,957 2028 Households: 1,955 2027 Households: 1,952 2026 Households: 1,950 2025 Households: 1,947 2024 Households: 1,945 2023 Households: 1,942 2022 Households: 1,939 2021 Households: 1,936 2020 Households: 1,933 2019 Households: 1,930 2018 Households: 1,927 2017 Households: 1,926 2016 Households: 1,924 2015 Households: 1,901 2014 Households: 1,879 2013 Households: 1,877 2043 Total population: 5,222 2042 Total population: 5,234 2041 Total population: 5,247 2040 Total population: 5,260 2039 Total population: 5,273 2038 Total population: 5,290 2037 Total population: 5,306 2036 Total population: 5,325 2035 Total population: 5,342 2034 Total population: 5,359 2033 Total population: 5,368 2032 Total population: 5,376 2031 Total population: 5,388 2030 Total population: 5,397 2029 Total population: 5,403 2028 Total population: 5,419 2027 Total population: 5,424 2026 Total population: 5,431 2025 Total population: 5,434 2024 Total population: 5,434 2023 Total population: 5,434 2022 Total population: 5,427 2021 Total population: 5,415 2020 Total population: 5,419 2019 Total population: 5,372 2018 Total population: 5,391 2017 Total population: 5,421 2016 Total population: 5,440 2015 Total population: 5,424 2014 Total population: 5,346 2013 Total population: 5,291
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
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