Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast
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Karikari Peninsula - Maungataniwha

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Far North District. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Karikari Peninsula - MaungataniwhaForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population4,7094,8394,9195,0585,1985,2445,210
Change in population (5yrs)--1308013914046-34
Average annual change--0.55%0.33%0.56%0.55%0.17%-0.13%
Households1,8601,9592,0342,1172,2042,2392,237
Average household size2.532.472.422.392.362.342.33
Population in non private dwellings6666666
Dwellings2,7262,7882,8542,9293,0163,1063,147
Dwelling occupancy rate68.2370.2771.2772.2873.0872.0971.08

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2043 Average household size: 2.33 2042 Average household size: 2.33 2041 Average household size: 2.33 2040 Average household size: 2.33 2039 Average household size: 2.34 2038 Average household size: 2.34 2037 Average household size: 2.34 2036 Average household size: 2.35 2035 Average household size: 2.35 2034 Average household size: 2.35 2033 Average household size: 2.36 2032 Average household size: 2.36 2031 Average household size: 2.36 2030 Average household size: 2.37 2029 Average household size: 2.38 2028 Average household size: 2.39 2027 Average household size: 2.39 2026 Average household size: 2.39 2025 Average household size: 2.40 2024 Average household size: 2.41 2023 Average household size: 2.42 2022 Average household size: 2.42 2021 Average household size: 2.43 2020 Average household size: 2.43 2019 Average household size: 2.45 2018 Average household size: 2.47 2017 Average household size: 2.48 2016 Average household size: 2.50 2015 Average household size: 2.53 2014 Average household size: 2.54 2013 Average household size: 2.53 2043 Average household size: 2.33 2042 Average household size: 2.33 2041 Average household size: 2.33 2040 Average household size: 2.33 2039 Average household size: 2.34 2038 Average household size: 2.34 2037 Average household size: 2.34 2036 Average household size: 2.35 2035 Average household size: 2.35 2034 Average household size: 2.35 2033 Average household size: 2.36 2032 Average household size: 2.36 2031 Average household size: 2.36 2030 Average household size: 2.37 2029 Average household size: 2.38 2028 Average household size: 2.39 2027 Average household size: 2.39 2026 Average household size: 2.39 2025 Average household size: 2.40 2024 Average household size: 2.41 2023 Average household size: 2.42 2022 Average household size: 2.42 2021 Average household size: 2.43 2020 Average household size: 2.43 2019 Average household size: 2.45 2018 Average household size: 2.47 2017 Average household size: 2.48 2016 Average household size: 2.50 2015 Average household size: 2.53 2014 Average household size: 2.54 2043 Households: 2,236 2042 Households: 2,238 2041 Households: 2,239 2040 Households: 2,240 2039 Households: 2,242 2038 Households: 2,238 2037 Households: 2,232 2036 Households: 2,225 2035 Households: 2,218 2034 Households: 2,211 2033 Households: 2,204 2032 Households: 2,186 2031 Households: 2,168 2030 Households: 2,150 2029 Households: 2,133 2028 Households: 2,116 2027 Households: 2,098 2026 Households: 2,081 2025 Households: 2,065 2024 Households: 2,049 2023 Households: 2,033 2022 Households: 2,018 2021 Households: 2,003 2020 Households: 1,988 2019 Households: 1,973 2018 Households: 1,958 2017 Households: 1,944 2016 Households: 1,916 2015 Households: 1,888 2014 Households: 1,874 2013 Households: 1,860 2043 Total population: 5,210 2042 Total population: 5,217 2041 Total population: 5,225 2040 Total population: 5,234 2039 Total population: 5,244 2038 Total population: 5,244 2037 Total population: 5,235 2036 Total population: 5,226 2035 Total population: 5,215 2034 Total population: 5,207 2033 Total population: 5,198 2032 Total population: 5,166 2031 Total population: 5,132 2030 Total population: 5,105 2029 Total population: 5,080 2028 Total population: 5,058 2027 Total population: 5,019 2026 Total population: 4,988 2025 Total population: 4,962 2024 Total population: 4,941 2023 Total population: 4,919 2022 Total population: 4,891 2021 Total population: 4,865 2020 Total population: 4,847 2019 Total population: 4,837 2018 Total population: 4,839 2017 Total population: 4,834 2016 Total population: 4,795 2015 Total population: 4,780 2014 Total population: 4,768 2013 Total population: 4,709
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
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