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Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast

Karikari Peninsula - Maungataniwha

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Karikari Peninsula - Maungataniwha is forecast to grow from 2,726 in 2013 to 3,453 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 2.53 to 2.38 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Karikari Peninsula - Maungataniwha. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Karikari Peninsula - MaungataniwhaForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population4,7095,1605,0075,2565,5405,7165,778
Change in population (5yrs)--451-15425028317662
Average annual change--1.85%-0.60%0.98%1.06%0.63%0.22%
Households1,8602,0612,0582,1822,3152,3982,429
Average household size2.532.502.432.412.392.382.38
Population in non private dwellings6666666
Dwellings2,7262,8102,9183,0493,2003,3603,453
Dwelling occupancy rate68.2373.3570.5371.5672.3471.3770.34
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Karikari Peninsula - Maungataniwha was estimated to be 4,709 people. It is expected to increase by over 547 people to 5,256 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 0.74%. This is based on an increase of over 322 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.53 to 2.41 by 2028.

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