Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast
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Kerikeri Township

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Far North District. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Kerikeri TownshipForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population3,5053,7743,9934,1504,2814,4384,626
Change in population (5yrs)--269219157131158187
Average annual change--1.49%1.13%0.77%0.62%0.73%0.83%
Households1,4441,5681,6551,7361,8051,8781,960
Average household size2.362.342.342.332.302.292.29
Population in non private dwellings9999114114129129129
Dwellings1,5131,6251,7121,7941,8651,9352,015
Dwelling occupancy rate95.4496.4996.6796.7796.7897.0597.27

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2043 Average household size: 2.29 2042 Average household size: 2.29 2041 Average household size: 2.29 2040 Average household size: 2.29 2039 Average household size: 2.29 2038 Average household size: 2.30 2037 Average household size: 2.30 2036 Average household size: 2.30 2035 Average household size: 2.30 2034 Average household size: 2.30 2033 Average household size: 2.30 2032 Average household size: 2.30 2031 Average household size: 2.31 2030 Average household size: 2.31 2029 Average household size: 2.32 2028 Average household size: 2.33 2027 Average household size: 2.33 2026 Average household size: 2.33 2025 Average household size: 2.34 2024 Average household size: 2.34 2023 Average household size: 2.34 2022 Average household size: 2.34 2021 Average household size: 2.34 2020 Average household size: 2.35 2019 Average household size: 2.35 2018 Average household size: 2.35 2017 Average household size: 2.35 2016 Average household size: 2.35 2015 Average household size: 2.36 2014 Average household size: 2.38 2013 Average household size: 2.36 2043 Average household size: 2.29 2042 Average household size: 2.29 2041 Average household size: 2.29 2040 Average household size: 2.29 2039 Average household size: 2.29 2038 Average household size: 2.30 2037 Average household size: 2.30 2036 Average household size: 2.30 2035 Average household size: 2.30 2034 Average household size: 2.30 2033 Average household size: 2.30 2032 Average household size: 2.30 2031 Average household size: 2.31 2030 Average household size: 2.31 2029 Average household size: 2.32 2028 Average household size: 2.33 2027 Average household size: 2.33 2026 Average household size: 2.33 2025 Average household size: 2.34 2024 Average household size: 2.34 2023 Average household size: 2.34 2022 Average household size: 2.34 2021 Average household size: 2.34 2020 Average household size: 2.35 2019 Average household size: 2.35 2018 Average household size: 2.35 2017 Average household size: 2.35 2016 Average household size: 2.35 2015 Average household size: 2.36 2014 Average household size: 2.38 2043 Households: 1,960 2042 Households: 1,944 2041 Households: 1,927 2040 Households: 1,910 2039 Households: 1,894 2038 Households: 1,877 2037 Households: 1,863 2036 Households: 1,848 2035 Households: 1,834 2034 Households: 1,819 2033 Households: 1,805 2032 Households: 1,790 2031 Households: 1,776 2030 Households: 1,763 2029 Households: 1,750 2028 Households: 1,734 2027 Households: 1,719 2026 Households: 1,702 2025 Households: 1,686 2024 Households: 1,671 2023 Households: 1,655 2022 Households: 1,640 2021 Households: 1,622 2020 Households: 1,605 2019 Households: 1,587 2018 Households: 1,567 2017 Households: 1,542 2016 Households: 1,516 2015 Households: 1,492 2014 Households: 1,469 2013 Households: 1,444 2043 Total population: 4,626 2042 Total population: 4,587 2041 Total population: 4,550 2040 Total population: 4,512 2039 Total population: 4,475 2038 Total population: 4,438 2037 Total population: 4,405 2036 Total population: 4,372 2035 Total population: 4,340 2034 Total population: 4,308 2033 Total population: 4,281 2032 Total population: 4,237 2031 Total population: 4,212 2030 Total population: 4,193 2029 Total population: 4,174 2028 Total population: 4,150 2027 Total population: 4,115 2026 Total population: 4,083 2025 Total population: 4,052 2024 Total population: 4,024 2023 Total population: 3,993 2022 Total population: 3,954 2021 Total population: 3,912 2020 Total population: 3,878 2019 Total population: 3,841 2018 Total population: 3,774 2017 Total population: 3,719 2016 Total population: 3,661 2015 Total population: 3,628 2014 Total population: 3,602 2013 Total population: 3,505
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
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