Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Kerikeri Township Surrounds

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Far North District. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Kerikeri Township SurroundsForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population3,5343,8014,1344,3704,5994,7144,900
Change in population (5yrs)--268333236228115187
Average annual change--1.47%1.69%1.12%1.02%0.49%0.78%
Households1,3781,5081,6411,7611,8741,9392,017
Average household size2.542.502.472.442.412.382.37
Population in non private dwellings363676769191111
Dwellings1,4301,5511,6851,8031,9201,9912,069
Dwelling occupancy rate96.3697.2397.3997.6797.6097.3997.49

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2043 Average household size: 2.37 2042 Average household size: 2.38 2041 Average household size: 2.38 2040 Average household size: 2.38 2039 Average household size: 2.38 2038 Average household size: 2.38 2037 Average household size: 2.39 2036 Average household size: 2.39 2035 Average household size: 2.40 2034 Average household size: 2.40 2033 Average household size: 2.41 2032 Average household size: 2.41 2031 Average household size: 2.42 2030 Average household size: 2.42 2029 Average household size: 2.43 2028 Average household size: 2.44 2027 Average household size: 2.45 2026 Average household size: 2.45 2025 Average household size: 2.46 2024 Average household size: 2.47 2023 Average household size: 2.47 2022 Average household size: 2.48 2021 Average household size: 2.49 2020 Average household size: 2.49 2019 Average household size: 2.49 2018 Average household size: 2.50 2017 Average household size: 2.50 2016 Average household size: 2.51 2015 Average household size: 2.52 2014 Average household size: 2.53 2013 Average household size: 2.54 2043 Average household size: 2.37 2042 Average household size: 2.38 2041 Average household size: 2.38 2040 Average household size: 2.38 2039 Average household size: 2.38 2038 Average household size: 2.38 2037 Average household size: 2.39 2036 Average household size: 2.39 2035 Average household size: 2.40 2034 Average household size: 2.40 2033 Average household size: 2.41 2032 Average household size: 2.41 2031 Average household size: 2.42 2030 Average household size: 2.42 2029 Average household size: 2.43 2028 Average household size: 2.44 2027 Average household size: 2.45 2026 Average household size: 2.45 2025 Average household size: 2.46 2024 Average household size: 2.47 2023 Average household size: 2.47 2022 Average household size: 2.48 2021 Average household size: 2.49 2020 Average household size: 2.49 2019 Average household size: 2.49 2018 Average household size: 2.50 2017 Average household size: 2.50 2016 Average household size: 2.51 2015 Average household size: 2.52 2014 Average household size: 2.53 2043 Households: 2,018 2042 Households: 2,001 2041 Households: 1,985 2040 Households: 1,969 2039 Households: 1,953 2038 Households: 1,939 2037 Households: 1,925 2036 Households: 1,916 2035 Households: 1,903 2034 Households: 1,889 2033 Households: 1,874 2032 Households: 1,856 2031 Households: 1,833 2030 Households: 1,809 2029 Households: 1,785 2028 Households: 1,760 2027 Households: 1,736 2026 Households: 1,711 2025 Households: 1,687 2024 Households: 1,663 2023 Households: 1,640 2022 Households: 1,615 2021 Households: 1,590 2020 Households: 1,564 2019 Households: 1,535 2018 Households: 1,508 2017 Households: 1,482 2016 Households: 1,447 2015 Households: 1,414 2014 Households: 1,395 2013 Households: 1,378 2043 Total population: 4,900 2042 Total population: 4,864 2041 Total population: 4,829 2040 Total population: 4,795 2039 Total population: 4,741 2038 Total population: 4,714 2037 Total population: 4,689 2036 Total population: 4,677 2035 Total population: 4,651 2034 Total population: 4,625 2033 Total population: 4,599 2032 Total population: 4,566 2031 Total population: 4,522 2030 Total population: 4,474 2029 Total population: 4,411 2028 Total population: 4,370 2027 Total population: 4,320 2026 Total population: 4,273 2025 Total population: 4,227 2024 Total population: 4,182 2023 Total population: 4,134 2022 Total population: 4,041 2021 Total population: 3,989 2020 Total population: 3,935 2019 Total population: 3,865 2018 Total population: 3,801 2017 Total population: 3,740 2016 Total population: 3,666 2015 Total population: 3,606 2014 Total population: 3,572 2013 Total population: 3,534
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
v19.07.15-1.0.1