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Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast

Kohukohu and Hokianga North area

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Kohukohu and Hokianga North area is forecast to grow from 997 in 2013 to 1,118 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 2.60 to 2.19 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Kohukohu and Hokianga North area. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Kohukohu and Hokianga North areaForecast year
Change in population (5yrs)--46-66-54-380-5
Average annual change--0.45%-0.64%-0.54%-0.39%0.00%-0.06%
Average household size2.602.462.372.
Population in non private dwellings3333333
Dwelling occupancy rate78.6483.1282.0881.1079.9679.6078.53
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Kohukohu and Hokianga North area was estimated to be 2,040 people. It is expected to decrease by over 74 people to 1,966 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of -0.25%. This is based on an increase of over 74 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.60 to 2.29 by 2028.

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