Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast
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Mangonui - Coopers Beach - Cable Bay

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Far North District. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Mangonui - Coopers Beach - Cable BayForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population1,8001,8922,0262,1882,2942,2972,297
Change in population (5yrs)--9313416110630
Average annual change--1.01%1.38%1.54%0.95%0.03%0.00%
Households8449059811,0641,1311,1381,146
Average household size2.132.092.072.062.032.022.00
Population in non private dwellings0000000
Dwellings1,2591,3371,4381,5471,6111,6561,701
Dwelling occupancy rate67.0467.6968.2268.7870.2068.7267.37

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2043 Average household size: 2.01 2042 Average household size: 2.01 2041 Average household size: 2.01 2040 Average household size: 2.01 2039 Average household size: 2.01 2038 Average household size: 2.02 2037 Average household size: 2.02 2036 Average household size: 2.02 2035 Average household size: 2.02 2034 Average household size: 2.03 2033 Average household size: 2.03 2032 Average household size: 2.03 2031 Average household size: 2.04 2030 Average household size: 2.05 2029 Average household size: 2.05 2028 Average household size: 2.05 2027 Average household size: 2.05 2026 Average household size: 2.06 2025 Average household size: 2.06 2024 Average household size: 2.06 2023 Average household size: 2.06 2022 Average household size: 2.07 2021 Average household size: 2.07 2020 Average household size: 2.07 2019 Average household size: 2.09 2018 Average household size: 2.09 2017 Average household size: 2.10 2016 Average household size: 2.10 2015 Average household size: 2.11 2014 Average household size: 2.13 2013 Average household size: 2.13 2043 Average household size: 2.01 2042 Average household size: 2.01 2041 Average household size: 2.01 2040 Average household size: 2.01 2039 Average household size: 2.01 2038 Average household size: 2.02 2037 Average household size: 2.02 2036 Average household size: 2.02 2035 Average household size: 2.02 2034 Average household size: 2.03 2033 Average household size: 2.03 2032 Average household size: 2.03 2031 Average household size: 2.04 2030 Average household size: 2.05 2029 Average household size: 2.05 2028 Average household size: 2.05 2027 Average household size: 2.05 2026 Average household size: 2.06 2025 Average household size: 2.06 2024 Average household size: 2.06 2023 Average household size: 2.06 2022 Average household size: 2.07 2021 Average household size: 2.07 2020 Average household size: 2.07 2019 Average household size: 2.09 2018 Average household size: 2.09 2017 Average household size: 2.10 2016 Average household size: 2.10 2015 Average household size: 2.11 2014 Average household size: 2.13 2043 Households: 1,146 2042 Households: 1,144 2041 Households: 1,143 2040 Households: 1,141 2039 Households: 1,140 2038 Households: 1,138 2037 Households: 1,137 2036 Households: 1,135 2035 Households: 1,134 2034 Households: 1,132 2033 Households: 1,130 2032 Households: 1,126 2031 Households: 1,122 2030 Households: 1,106 2029 Households: 1,086 2028 Households: 1,065 2027 Households: 1,049 2026 Households: 1,032 2025 Households: 1,015 2024 Households: 997 2023 Households: 981 2022 Households: 965 2021 Households: 949 2020 Households: 933 2019 Households: 917 2018 Households: 904 2017 Households: 891 2016 Households: 877 2015 Households: 867 2014 Households: 855 2013 Households: 844 2043 Total population: 2,297 2042 Total population: 2,297 2041 Total population: 2,297 2040 Total population: 2,297 2039 Total population: 2,297 2038 Total population: 2,297 2037 Total population: 2,296 2036 Total population: 2,295 2035 Total population: 2,293 2034 Total population: 2,294 2033 Total population: 2,294 2032 Total population: 2,290 2031 Total population: 2,289 2030 Total population: 2,264 2029 Total population: 2,230 2028 Total population: 2,188 2027 Total population: 2,154 2026 Total population: 2,123 2025 Total population: 2,087 2024 Total population: 2,057 2023 Total population: 2,026 2022 Total population: 1,993 2021 Total population: 1,965 2020 Total population: 1,936 2019 Total population: 1,913 2018 Total population: 1,892 2017 Total population: 1,869 2016 Total population: 1,845 2015 Total population: 1,831 2014 Total population: 1,820 2013 Total population: 1,800
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
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