Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast
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North Cape - Houhora - Awanui

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Far North District. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
North Cape - Houhora - AwanuiForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population3,7893,6573,5573,5093,5033,4883,476
Change in population (5yrs)---132-101-47-6-15-12
Average annual change---0.71%-0.56%-0.27%-0.03%-0.09%-0.07%
Households1,4051,4211,4391,4581,4961,5081,509
Average household size2.692.572.462.382.312.282.28
Population in non private dwellings13131343434343
Dwellings1,6901,7101,7321,7571,7861,8161,846
Dwelling occupancy rate83.1483.1083.0882.9883.7683.0481.74

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2043 Average household size: 2.28 2042 Average household size: 2.28 2041 Average household size: 2.28 2040 Average household size: 2.28 2039 Average household size: 2.28 2038 Average household size: 2.28 2037 Average household size: 2.29 2036 Average household size: 2.29 2035 Average household size: 2.30 2034 Average household size: 2.31 2033 Average household size: 2.31 2032 Average household size: 2.32 2031 Average household size: 2.34 2030 Average household size: 2.35 2029 Average household size: 2.36 2028 Average household size: 2.38 2027 Average household size: 2.39 2026 Average household size: 2.41 2025 Average household size: 2.43 2024 Average household size: 2.45 2023 Average household size: 2.46 2022 Average household size: 2.48 2021 Average household size: 2.50 2020 Average household size: 2.51 2019 Average household size: 2.54 2018 Average household size: 2.56 2017 Average household size: 2.59 2016 Average household size: 2.61 2015 Average household size: 2.64 2014 Average household size: 2.68 2013 Average household size: 2.69 2043 Average household size: 2.28 2042 Average household size: 2.28 2041 Average household size: 2.28 2040 Average household size: 2.28 2039 Average household size: 2.28 2038 Average household size: 2.28 2037 Average household size: 2.29 2036 Average household size: 2.29 2035 Average household size: 2.30 2034 Average household size: 2.31 2033 Average household size: 2.31 2032 Average household size: 2.32 2031 Average household size: 2.34 2030 Average household size: 2.35 2029 Average household size: 2.36 2028 Average household size: 2.38 2027 Average household size: 2.39 2026 Average household size: 2.41 2025 Average household size: 2.43 2024 Average household size: 2.45 2023 Average household size: 2.46 2022 Average household size: 2.48 2021 Average household size: 2.50 2020 Average household size: 2.51 2019 Average household size: 2.54 2018 Average household size: 2.56 2017 Average household size: 2.59 2016 Average household size: 2.61 2015 Average household size: 2.64 2014 Average household size: 2.68 2043 Households: 1,509 2042 Households: 1,509 2041 Households: 1,509 2040 Households: 1,509 2039 Households: 1,508 2038 Households: 1,508 2037 Households: 1,508 2036 Households: 1,507 2035 Households: 1,504 2034 Households: 1,500 2033 Households: 1,496 2032 Households: 1,492 2031 Households: 1,489 2030 Households: 1,485 2029 Households: 1,471 2028 Households: 1,458 2027 Households: 1,455 2026 Households: 1,452 2025 Households: 1,448 2024 Households: 1,444 2023 Households: 1,440 2022 Households: 1,436 2021 Households: 1,431 2020 Households: 1,428 2019 Households: 1,425 2018 Households: 1,421 2017 Households: 1,415 2016 Households: 1,411 2015 Households: 1,401 2014 Households: 1,395 2013 Households: 1,405 2043 Total population: 3,476 2042 Total population: 3,478 2041 Total population: 3,480 2040 Total population: 3,483 2039 Total population: 3,485 2038 Total population: 3,488 2037 Total population: 3,493 2036 Total population: 3,500 2035 Total population: 3,500 2034 Total population: 3,500 2033 Total population: 3,503 2032 Total population: 3,509 2031 Total population: 3,519 2030 Total population: 3,527 2029 Total population: 3,514 2028 Total population: 3,509 2027 Total population: 3,524 2026 Total population: 3,543 2025 Total population: 3,559 2024 Total population: 3,578 2023 Total population: 3,557 2022 Total population: 3,574 2021 Total population: 3,589 2020 Total population: 3,603 2019 Total population: 3,633 2018 Total population: 3,657 2017 Total population: 3,672 2016 Total population: 3,695 2015 Total population: 3,709 2014 Total population: 3,750 2013 Total population: 3,789
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
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