Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast
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Paihia - Opua and Haruru Falls

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Far North District. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Paihia - Opua and Haruru FallsForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population3,3703,4983,6163,6533,6483,6413,618
Change in population (5yrs)--12811837-5-7-23
Average annual change--0.75%0.67%0.20%-0.03%-0.04%-0.13%
Households1,4371,4841,5291,5481,5791,5881,581
Average household size2.272.292.302.282.232.212.21
Population in non private dwellings106106106126126126126
Dwellings1,7751,8331,8961,9261,9491,9741,999
Dwelling occupancy rate80.9680.9680.6480.3781.0280.4579.09

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2043 Average household size: 2.21 2042 Average household size: 2.21 2041 Average household size: 2.21 2040 Average household size: 2.21 2039 Average household size: 2.21 2038 Average household size: 2.21 2037 Average household size: 2.22 2036 Average household size: 2.22 2035 Average household size: 2.22 2034 Average household size: 2.23 2033 Average household size: 2.23 2032 Average household size: 2.24 2031 Average household size: 2.25 2030 Average household size: 2.26 2029 Average household size: 2.27 2028 Average household size: 2.28 2027 Average household size: 2.28 2026 Average household size: 2.28 2025 Average household size: 2.29 2024 Average household size: 2.29 2023 Average household size: 2.30 2022 Average household size: 2.29 2021 Average household size: 2.29 2020 Average household size: 2.29 2019 Average household size: 2.29 2018 Average household size: 2.29 2017 Average household size: 2.27 2016 Average household size: 2.28 2015 Average household size: 2.28 2014 Average household size: 2.28 2013 Average household size: 2.27 2043 Average household size: 2.21 2042 Average household size: 2.21 2041 Average household size: 2.21 2040 Average household size: 2.21 2039 Average household size: 2.21 2038 Average household size: 2.21 2037 Average household size: 2.22 2036 Average household size: 2.22 2035 Average household size: 2.22 2034 Average household size: 2.23 2033 Average household size: 2.23 2032 Average household size: 2.24 2031 Average household size: 2.25 2030 Average household size: 2.26 2029 Average household size: 2.27 2028 Average household size: 2.28 2027 Average household size: 2.28 2026 Average household size: 2.28 2025 Average household size: 2.29 2024 Average household size: 2.29 2023 Average household size: 2.30 2022 Average household size: 2.29 2021 Average household size: 2.29 2020 Average household size: 2.29 2019 Average household size: 2.29 2018 Average household size: 2.29 2017 Average household size: 2.27 2016 Average household size: 2.28 2015 Average household size: 2.28 2014 Average household size: 2.28 2043 Households: 1,581 2042 Households: 1,583 2041 Households: 1,584 2040 Households: 1,585 2039 Households: 1,586 2038 Households: 1,587 2037 Households: 1,588 2036 Households: 1,586 2035 Households: 1,584 2034 Households: 1,581 2033 Households: 1,579 2032 Households: 1,577 2031 Households: 1,575 2030 Households: 1,561 2029 Households: 1,548 2028 Households: 1,547 2027 Households: 1,545 2026 Households: 1,542 2025 Households: 1,540 2024 Households: 1,536 2023 Households: 1,529 2022 Households: 1,520 2021 Households: 1,511 2020 Households: 1,502 2019 Households: 1,493 2018 Households: 1,484 2017 Households: 1,471 2016 Households: 1,460 2015 Households: 1,447 2014 Households: 1,434 2013 Households: 1,437 2043 Total population: 3,618 2042 Total population: 3,622 2041 Total population: 3,628 2040 Total population: 3,630 2039 Total population: 3,635 2038 Total population: 3,641 2037 Total population: 3,647 2036 Total population: 3,646 2035 Total population: 3,644 2034 Total population: 3,645 2033 Total population: 3,648 2032 Total population: 3,658 2031 Total population: 3,663 2030 Total population: 3,648 2029 Total population: 3,637 2028 Total population: 3,653 2027 Total population: 3,653 2026 Total population: 3,649 2025 Total population: 3,634 2024 Total population: 3,632 2023 Total population: 3,616 2022 Total population: 3,591 2021 Total population: 3,571 2020 Total population: 3,550 2019 Total population: 3,525 2018 Total population: 3,498 2017 Total population: 3,451 2016 Total population: 3,431 2015 Total population: 3,404 2014 Total population: 3,372 2013 Total population: 3,370
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
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