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The number of dwellings in Paihia - Opua and Haruru Falls is forecast to grow from 1,775 in 2013 to 2,833 in 2043, with the average household size rising from 2.27 to 2.23 by 2043.
This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Paihia - Opua and Haruru Falls. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.
It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.
|Forecast population, households and dwellings|
|Paihia - Opua and Haruru Falls||Forecast year|
|Change in population (5yrs)||--||244||408||297||294||301||274|
|Average annual change||--||1.41%||2.16%||1.43%||1.33%||1.27%||1.09%|
|Average household size||2.27||2.29||2.31||2.30||2.25||2.24||2.23|
|Population in non private dwellings||106||106||106||126||126||126||126|
|Dwelling occupancy rate||80.96||81.86||81.60||81.33||82.05||81.40||80.13|
In 2013, the total population of Paihia - Opua and Haruru Falls was estimated to be 3,370 people. It is expected to increase by over 948 people to 4,318 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 1.67%. This is based on an increase of over 388 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 2.27 to 2.30 by 2028.
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