Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast
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Rawene - Opononi - Omapere and Hokianga South Area

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Far North District. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Rawene - Opononi - Omapere and Hokianga South AreaForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population3,7993,7043,6593,6073,6043,5653,503
Change in population (5yrs)---95-45-52-3-40-62
Average annual change---0.51%-0.25%-0.29%-0.01%-0.22%-0.35%
Households1,4551,4671,4891,5011,5291,5301,511
Average household size2.602.512.442.392.342.322.30
Population in non private dwellings22222222222222
Dwellings1,9251,9411,9701,9902,0052,0202,035
Dwelling occupancy rate75.5875.5875.5875.4376.2675.7474.25

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2043 Average household size: 2.30 2042 Average household size: 2.31 2041 Average household size: 2.31 2040 Average household size: 2.31 2039 Average household size: 2.31 2038 Average household size: 2.32 2037 Average household size: 2.32 2036 Average household size: 2.33 2035 Average household size: 2.33 2034 Average household size: 2.34 2033 Average household size: 2.34 2032 Average household size: 2.35 2031 Average household size: 2.36 2030 Average household size: 2.37 2029 Average household size: 2.38 2028 Average household size: 2.39 2027 Average household size: 2.40 2026 Average household size: 2.41 2025 Average household size: 2.42 2024 Average household size: 2.43 2023 Average household size: 2.44 2022 Average household size: 2.45 2021 Average household size: 2.47 2020 Average household size: 2.48 2019 Average household size: 2.50 2018 Average household size: 2.51 2017 Average household size: 2.52 2016 Average household size: 2.54 2015 Average household size: 2.56 2014 Average household size: 2.58 2013 Average household size: 2.59 2043 Average household size: 2.30 2042 Average household size: 2.31 2041 Average household size: 2.31 2040 Average household size: 2.31 2039 Average household size: 2.31 2038 Average household size: 2.32 2037 Average household size: 2.32 2036 Average household size: 2.33 2035 Average household size: 2.33 2034 Average household size: 2.34 2033 Average household size: 2.34 2032 Average household size: 2.35 2031 Average household size: 2.36 2030 Average household size: 2.37 2029 Average household size: 2.38 2028 Average household size: 2.39 2027 Average household size: 2.40 2026 Average household size: 2.41 2025 Average household size: 2.42 2024 Average household size: 2.43 2023 Average household size: 2.44 2022 Average household size: 2.45 2021 Average household size: 2.47 2020 Average household size: 2.48 2019 Average household size: 2.50 2018 Average household size: 2.51 2017 Average household size: 2.52 2016 Average household size: 2.54 2015 Average household size: 2.56 2014 Average household size: 2.58 2043 Households: 1,511 2042 Households: 1,515 2041 Households: 1,518 2040 Households: 1,522 2039 Households: 1,526 2038 Households: 1,529 2037 Households: 1,533 2036 Households: 1,532 2035 Households: 1,531 2034 Households: 1,530 2033 Households: 1,529 2032 Households: 1,528 2031 Households: 1,527 2030 Households: 1,526 2029 Households: 1,513 2028 Households: 1,501 2027 Households: 1,500 2026 Households: 1,499 2025 Households: 1,498 2024 Households: 1,494 2023 Households: 1,490 2022 Households: 1,485 2021 Households: 1,481 2020 Households: 1,476 2019 Households: 1,471 2018 Households: 1,468 2017 Households: 1,457 2016 Households: 1,455 2015 Households: 1,445 2014 Households: 1,435 2013 Households: 1,456 2043 Total population: 3,503 2042 Total population: 3,515 2041 Total population: 3,526 2040 Total population: 3,538 2039 Total population: 3,550 2038 Total population: 3,565 2037 Total population: 3,580 2036 Total population: 3,586 2035 Total population: 3,591 2034 Total population: 3,599 2033 Total population: 3,604 2032 Total population: 3,614 2031 Total population: 3,623 2030 Total population: 3,635 2029 Total population: 3,620 2028 Total population: 3,607 2027 Total population: 3,617 2026 Total population: 3,628 2025 Total population: 3,644 2024 Total population: 3,656 2023 Total population: 3,659 2022 Total population: 3,665 2021 Total population: 3,673 2020 Total population: 3,681 2019 Total population: 3,695 2018 Total population: 3,704 2017 Total population: 3,694 2016 Total population: 3,712 2015 Total population: 3,721 2014 Total population: 3,727 2013 Total population: 3,799
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
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