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Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast

Russell and Rawhiti and Surrounds

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Russell and Rawhiti and Surrounds is forecast to grow from 1,975 in 2013 to 2,063 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 2.50 to 2.18 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Russell and Rawhiti and Surrounds. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Russell and Rawhiti and SurroundsForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population3,4003,4293,3553,2783,2473,2243,179
Change in population (5yrs)--30-74-77-31-24-45
Average annual change--0.17%-0.44%-0.46%-0.19%-0.15%-0.28%
Households1,3481,4191,4291,4341,4621,4611,445
Average household size2.502.402.332.272.202.192.18
Population in non private dwellings30303030303030
Dwellings1,9751,9902,0042,0192,0332,0482,063
Dwelling occupancy rate68.2571.3171.3171.0371.9171.3470.04
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Russell and Rawhiti and Surrounds was estimated to be 3,400 people. It is expected to decrease by over 122 people to 3,278 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of -0.24%. This is based on an increase of over 86 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.50 to 2.27 by 2028.

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