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Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast

Rawene - Opononi - Omapere and Hokianga South Area

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Rawene - Opononi - Omapere and Hokianga South Area is forecast to grow from 1,925 in 2013 to 2,072 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 2.60 to 2.32 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Rawene - Opononi - Omapere and Hokianga South Area. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Rawene - Opononi - Omapere and Hokianga South AreaForecast year
Change in population (5yrs)--100-38-29-3-35-56
Average annual change--0.52%-0.20%-0.15%-0.01%-0.19%-0.30%
Average household size2.602.532.462.412.362.332.32
Population in non private dwellings22222222222222
Dwelling occupancy rate75.5878.7978.8378.6879.4378.8577.41
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Rawene - Opononi - Omapere and Hokianga South Area was estimated to be 3,799 people. It is expected to increase by over 33 people to 3,832 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 0.06%. This is based on an increase of over 128 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.60 to 2.41 by 2028.

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